Warriors vs. Bucks Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Wednesday, Mar 6

Milwaukee Bucks guard Damian Lillard (0) brings the ball down court in the second quarter against the Miami Heat at Fiserv Forum.
Image Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Need a Warriors vs. Bucks prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Bucks hit the road to face the Warriors on Wednesday, Mar 6 at 10:00 ET. The current total stands at 227.5, with the Warriors being favored by 4.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Warriors vs. Bucks player props and predictions.

Warriors vs. Bucks Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -4.5
  • Total 227.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Mar 6
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
  • TV: ESPN

Bucks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three road contests, Milwaukee has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 114 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.

Warriors Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Warriors have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 121 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Golden State posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Is a Road Win Possible for Milwaukee?

Milwaukee comes into today’s game as 4.5-point underdogs, and they have covered the spread in six straight games. As the underdog, the Bucks have an ATS record of 3-5 this season.

In their last two games, the Bucks have won as the underdog, and they have a 2-6 record as the underdog this season. Their straight-up record as the underdog is 2-6.

This season, Milwaukee has an O/U record of 30-32, and their games have averaged 238.2 points per game. The O/U line for today’s game is 227.5, and the Bucks have hit the under in six straight games.

In their most recent game, the Bucks defeated the Clippers by a score of 113-106. Milwaukee was getting 2.5 points in that game, and their ATS win streak is now at six games. The O/U line for that game was 222.5.

Overall, the Bucks are 41-21 this season, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 29-13 and 12-8 against non-conference opponents. On the road, the Bucks are 16-14.

This season, the Bucks are one of the best offensive teams in the league, averaging 121.4 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 123.0 points compared to 119.6 on the road.

In terms of pace, Milwaukee is 6th in the NBA at 100.8 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, the Bucks are 6th in the league at 49%. They have also been efficient from beyond the arc, making 37% of their three-point attempts.

So far, the Bucks have attempted the 6th most three-pointers per game at 38. In terms of free throws, they are 1st in the NBA in attempts at 25.4 per game. Overall, Milwaukee is 4th in the league in true shooting percentage.

Coming into today’s game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.9 points per contest. So far this season, the Bucks’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 9th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 22.2 times per game vs. Milwaukee.

Will Golden State Win at Home?

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 29-30-1, and the under has hit in their last seven games. Today’s O/U line of 227.5 is lower than the average of 235.8 points per game in their games this season.

In terms of their ATS record, the Warriors are 33-26 overall and 13-17 at home. They have covered the spread in three straight games and are favored by 4.5 points today.

Out of their 60 games this season, the Warriors have been favored in 38 of them, going 26-12 in those games. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +4.7 PPG.

Looking at their Western Conference record, the Warriors are 16-21 compared to 16-7 against non-conference opponents. This puts them in 10th place in the West and 5th in the Pacific Division.

Golden State’s most recent game was a 140-88 loss to the Celtics. They were 8-point underdogs going into the game and are 13-17 ATS at home. The O/U line for that game was 231 points.

At home, the Warriors are averaging 117.5 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. Overall, Golden State is 7th in scoring at 118.6 points per game. In terms of pace, the Warriors are 8th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 2nd in the NBA in made threes at 15 per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc, which is 9th in the league. In terms of field goal percentage, Golden State is 16th at 47%.

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60% of their games. In terms of assists, Golden State is 5th in the league at 29 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, the Warriors are 4th in the NBA with an average of 12.4 per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 117.2 points per contest. Golden State’s defense is currently forcing 14 turnovers per game, which is 23rd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 27th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.2 rejections per game.

Warriors vs. Bucks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Stephen Curry and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -111 while the under is at -123. With his prop line at 26.5, our model indicates that taking the over is the way to go as we project him to end up with 27. We foresee him having a field goal percentage of 45.0% and connecting on five threes.

  • The Prop: Stephen Curry Over 26.5 Points (-111)

Warriors vs. Bucks Predictions

The Bucks come in as the underdog at +4.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 227.5, and our model projects the Bucks and Warriors to reach a combined total of 217 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

The Pick: Bucks +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook