Lightning vs. Blackhawks Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Nov. 16

Oct 15, 2023; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov (86) skates with the puck in the third period against the Ottawa Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre
Image Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the Chicago Blackhawks.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (6-6-4) are set to face off against the Chicago Blackhawks (5-8-0) in a battle at the United Center. With both teams looking to improve their standings, this game could be a turning point in their seasons.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning -190 (BetRivers) / Chicago Blackhawks +155 (BetRivers)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning +123 (BetRivers) / Chicago Blackhawks -150 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – +108 (BetRivers) / -132 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Nov. 16

Time: 08:00 PM

Location: United Center – Chicago, IL

TV: ESPN+

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 2 wins and 6 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 4 wins and 5 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 10 overs and 6 unders.

Chicago Blackhawks Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Chicago Blackhawks have 1 win and 3 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Chicago Blackhawks have 5 wins and 8 losses.
  • This season, the Chicago Blackhawks have hit 6 overs and 7 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Chicago Blackhawks have faced off three times, with Tampa Bay emerging victorious in two of those encounters while Chicago claimed one win. These matchups occurred within the regular season games of the 2022-2023 and 2023-2024 NHL seasons. The visiting team has had the upper hand, winning two out of the three games. When it comes to betting statistics, Tampa Bay has covered the spread twice, whereas Chicago has done so once. The total score of the games has tended to lean towards the lower end, with the ‘under’ hitting twice compared to the ‘over’ which has occurred once. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Lightning have demonstrated a stronger win percentage overall, with a notable performance in the 2022-2023 season where they had a win percentage of 59.0909% compared to the Blackhawks’ 33.3333%. The goaltending stats also stood out, with Tampa Bay’s goalies showing higher save percentages in two of the three games.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on November 9, 2023, and ended with a 5-3 victory for the Chicago Blackhawks. Despite being the underdog with a closing moneyline of +200, Chicago managed to outscore the Lightning, who were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -250. The Blackhawks’ victory was marked by a strong offensive showing, with a final score spread of 2, which meant they also won against the spread. The game concluded with a total score of 8, resulting in an ‘over’ against the closing over-under of 6.5. Chicago’s performance was highlighted by their power play, where they scored once and had a power play time on ice of 38.6667 minutes. The Blackhawks’ goalie, Petr Mrazek, had a save percentage of 0.909, saving 30 out of 33 shots, which contributed significantly to their win. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, had a higher number of shots on goal at 33 and a faceoff win percentage of 64.2%, but it wasn’t enough to secure the win.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks Predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning, with a balanced record, are entering the game on a three-game losing streak, seeking to turn their fortunes around. Despite their recent struggles, the Lightning boast offensive firepower with star right winger Nikita Kucherov leading the team with 11 goals and 23 points. On the blue line, Victor Hedman has been a key playmaker, contributing 14 assists. Tampa Bay’s performance on the road has been less than stellar, and they’ll be looking to improve upon their 2-4-2 record away from home.

Meanwhile, the Chicago Blackhawks are coming off a loss but have shown signs of promise with the rise of young star Connor Bedard, who tops the team with 9 goals and 13 points. Veteran left winger Nick Foligno has also been a crucial setup man with 6 assists. The Blackhawks have had their struggles at the United Center, holding a 1-3-0 record at home, and will be aiming to leverage their home-ice advantage to climb up from their current 7th place in the Central Division.

Defensively, both teams have room for improvement, with Tampa Bay allowing 3.69 goals per game and Chicago conceding 3.46. This matchup could come down to goaltending and special teams, where Tampa Bay’s power play efficiency and Chicago’s penalty kill will be tested. With both teams hungry for a win to boost their confidence and standings, key player matchups like Kucherov’s offensive prowess against Bedard’s scoring touch could be decisive in determining the outcome of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks Pick

Considering the recent performances and historical data, the smart pick for this game is the Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline bet. Despite their current losing streak, the Lightning have demonstrated resilience and the ability to bounce back strongly in past seasons. With offensive leaders like Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman, Tampa Bay has the scoring depth and playmaking abilities to challenge the Blackhawks’ defense. Additionally, the Lightning’s power play efficiency ranks them among the top in the league, which could prove crucial in a game that may come down to special teams. Furthermore, the historical head-to-head favors the visiting team, with Tampa Bay having won two out of the three recent matchups against Chicago, indicating a trend that could continue in this encounter.

While the Blackhawks have the advantage of playing at home and boast the talents of Connor Bedard, their overall record and performance at the United Center have been less than impressive. Tampa Bay’s experience and the urgency to snap their losing streak give them the edge in this matchup. The Lightning’s goaltending, which has shown higher save percentages in two of the last three games against Chicago, could be the difference-maker. Given these factors, and with the odds favoring a Tampa Bay victory, placing a moneyline bet on the Lightning is the more calculated and promising choice for this game.

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -190 (BetRivers)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nikita Kucherov Shots On Goal 3.5 8/10 -150 +120 4.7 4.86

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Taylor Raddysh Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -140 +110 2.3 2.25
Nick Foligno Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -145 +114 2.1 2.06