Pelicans vs. Thunder Player Props & Predictions – Monday, Apr 29

Brandon Ingram #14 of the New Orleans Pelicans controls the ball against the Houston Rockets during the first half at Toyota Center on March 17, 2023 in Houston, Texas.
Image Credit: Carmen Mandato/Getty Images

Need a Pelicans vs. Thunder prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Thunder hit the road to face the Pelicans on Monday, Apr 29 at 8:30 ET. The current total stands at 206.5, with the Thunder being favored by 5 as they play on the road. Check out our Pelicans vs. Thunder player props and predictions.

Pelicans vs. Thunder Odds

  • Spread: Thunder -5
  • Total 206.5

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Apr 29
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans LA
  • TV: NBA

Thunder Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 113 points per game in this stretch.
  • Oklahoma City has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Pelicans Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Pelicans have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five home games, New Orleans has averaged 108 points per game while allowing 110. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

The Thunder picked up a 21-point road win over the Pelicans in the most recent game of this series, winning by a score of 106-85. Oklahoma City came into the game as 1.5-point favorites and easily covered the spread. Heading into the game, the over/under line was at 211 points, and the teams fell 20 points short of that number.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 24 points to lead all scorers, while Josh Giddey added 21 points for the Thunder. Oklahoma City knocked down 17 threes, shooting 47.2% from beyond the arc. As for the Pelicans, they made just nine threes and shot 28.1% from three-point range. Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum led New Orleans with 19 and 16 points, respectively.

Will the Thunder Defense Show Up on the Road?

In their games this season, the Thunder have averaged a combined scoring total of 231.5 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 206.5. Overall, their O/U record for the season is 45-39-1.

Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 49-36, including a 21-21 mark on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two games and are favored by 5 points today.

The Thunder have won their last eight games and finished the season with a record of 57-25. This puts them in 1st place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 36-16 and 21-9 in non-conference games.

In their most recent game, the Thunder defeated the Pelicans by a score of 106-85. They were favored by 1.5 points in that game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 211 points.

Looking at their ATS and O/U records as the favorite, the Thunder are 37-27 and 50-14 straight-up. As the favorite, they have won nine straight games compared to going 10-11 as the underdog.

Can New Orleans Pull Off a Home Win?

Today, the Pelicans will be looking to bounce back from a 106-85 loss to the Thunder. In that game, the O/U line was 211 points, and the teams combined for just 191 points. The Pelicans were 1.5-point underdogs in that game.

This season, the Pelicans have an O/U record of 38-49, and their games have averaged a combined 224.4 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 206.5.

At home, the Pelicans have an average scoring margin of +2.8 points per game. Their ATS record at home is 21-22, and they are 18-17 straight-up as the underdog at home.

In the Western Conference, the Pelicans are currently in 8th place with a record of 49-33. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 30-22 and 9-7 in their division.

As the underdog this season, the Pelicans have gone 18-17 and are 21-14 ATS as the underdog. As for their ATS record this season, they are 45-41 overall and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games.

This season, the Pelicans are the 16th-ranked scoring offense, at 115.1 points per game. They have been a little worse than that at home this season, averaging 113.7 points per contest. New Orleans is also a below-average team in terms of pace, averaging 97.3 possessions per game.

Pelicans vs. Thunder Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Brandon Ingram and his points prop of 21.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -111 while the under is at -123. Considering his prop is set at 21.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 23. We anticipate him shooting 50.0% from the field and making two threes.

  • The Prop: Brandon Ingram Over 21.5 Points (-111)

Pelicans vs. Thunder Predictions

Not only do we have the Thunder winning this one by a score of 117-110, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Thunder at -5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 206.5 and given that our model is projecting 227 points between the teams, we like the over.

The Pick: Thunder -5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook