Pacers vs. Knicks Player Props & Predictions – Game 4

New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11) brings the ball up court against the Brooklyn Nets during the third quarter at Madison Square Garden.
Image Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Pacers are set to face the New York Knicks on Sunday, May 12. The game is scheduled for 3:30 ET while airing on ABC. Indiana enters this game as 5.5-point favorites with the total set at 219. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Pacers vs Knicks player props and predictions below.

Pacers vs. Knicks Odds

  • Spread: Pacers -5.5
  • Total 219

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Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, May 12
  • Time: 3:30 ET
  • Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis IN
  • TV: ABC

Knicks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Knicks last ten road games, the team averaged 112 points per game while allowing 112. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.

Pacers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-3 against the spread.

The Pacers picked up a 111-106 win in the most recent game of this Knicks vs. Pacers series. Indiana was favored by 7 points and failed to cover the spread, but they did come out on top by 5. The Knicks actually led by 5 heading into the 4th quarter, but the Pacers outscored them 26-16 in the 4th. The over/under line was 221.5 points, and the teams fell just short of that with a combined 217 points.

Tyrese Haliburton and Donte DiVincenzo both had big games for their respective teams. Haliburton scored 35 points and made six threes on 37.5% shooting from outside. DiVincenzo hit seven threes and finished with 35 points. The Knicks made 51.9% of their threes, which was well above their season average.

Does New York Have What it Takes on the Road?

On the road this season, the Knicks have an average scoring differential of +2.8 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 26-18, and they have covered the spread in their last three road games.

This season, the Knicks have an O/U record of 42-48-1, with an average combined scoring total of 221.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 219, and 37 of their games have had lower O/U lines than that.

New York’s ATS record for the season is 50-40, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. As the underdog, they have an ATS record of 20-19.

The Knicks are currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 50-32. In non-conference games, they are 15-15 compared to 35-17 against the East.

In their most recent game, the Knicks lost to the Pacers by a score of 111-106. They were 7-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 221.5, and the teams combined for 217 points.

The Knicks will be without Julius Randle, who is averaging 24 points per game this season. Over his last five games, Jalen Brunson is averaging 35.8 points per game on 48.8% shooting. He also averaged 7 assists in those games. For the season, Brunson is averaging 28.7 points per game.

Looking at the Knicks offense, they are averaging 112.8 points per game this season, which is 19th in the league. On the road, they are averaging 113.9 points per game. New York is the slowest-paced team in the league this season.

On the season, the Knicks are fifth in the NBA in points allowed per game at 108.5. They have been especially stingy at home, where they are giving up just 105.9 points per contest, which is third-best in the league.

Over their last five games, New York’s defense has slipped a bit, as they have allowed 115.2 points per game during that stretch. During that time, opponents have made 40.2% of their three-point attempts.

For the season, opposing teams have made just 36.4% of their threes against the Knicks, which is 11th-best in the NBA. On the year, New York’s opponents have made 12.6 threes per game, which is also 11th in the league.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Pacers?

The Pacers are favored by 5.5 points in today’s game vs. the Knicks. This season, Indiana has gone 30-19 as the favorite and has won their last two games as the favorite. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +6.3 points per game.

Indiana’s ATS record for the season is 48-41, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 24-20 ATS, while going 24-21 ATS on the road.

Indiana’s O/U record for the season is 49-42, and their games have averaged 241.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 219, and 86 of their games have had higher O/U lines. The Pacers are 4-1 in games with lower O/U lines than 219.

In their last game against the Knicks, the Pacers won 111-106. The O/U line for that game was 221.5, and Indiana was favored by 7 points. The win moved the Pacers to 47-35 on the season, which is good for 6th in the Eastern Conference.

Indiana’s offense is averaging 123.3 points per game this season, which is the best mark in the league. They have been even better on their home floor, at 125 points per contest. Looking at their field goal percentage, the Pacers are the top shooting team in the league, hitting 50% of their shots from the field. They are also the top team in two-point field goal percentage, at 58%.

Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 21.6 points per game over his last five games on a shooting percentage of 49.4%. In these games, he hit 4.2 threes per game. Pascal Siakam has averaged 18 points per game in his last five games, while also averaging 6.6 rebounds. For the season, Siakam is averaging 21.7 points and 7.1 rebounds.

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers have struggled this season, giving up 119.5 points per game (27th). This is a trend that has followed them both at home (117.8 PPG, 26th) and on the road (121.2 PPG, 28th). Over their last five games, they have been slightly better, allowing 114 points per game (17th).

Indiana has been able to limit opponents from beyond the arc this season, allowing just 10.8 made threes per game (1st). However, they have struggled to keep opponents off the free-throw line, giving up 25.6 made free throws per game (30th).

Despite their struggles on defense, the Pacers have been able to block shots at a high level this season, ranking 8th in the league at 5.9 blocks per game.

Pacers vs. Knicks Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Jalen Brunson and his points prop of 32.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -115 while the under is at -119. With his prop at 32.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 36. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and knocking down three threes.

  • The Prop: Jalen Brunson Over 32.5 Points (-115)

Pacers vs. Knicks Predictions

For a pick on the point-spread in this Pacers vs. Knicks matchup, our bet is to grab the Knicks at +5.5. Even though our projections have the Pacers winning 113-111, we see the Knicks as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 219 and given that our model is projecting 224 points between the teams, we like the over.

The Pick: Knicks +5.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook