Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Wednesday, Mar. 27

Oct 21, 2023; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Ottawa Senators defenseman Thomas Chabot (72) skates with the puck in the third period against the Detroit Red Wings at the Canadian Tire Centre
Image Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Ottawa Senators hit the road to face the Buffalo Sabres.

The Ottawa Senators (30-36-4) are set to face off against the Buffalo Sabres (34-33-5) in a clash at the KeyBank Center. With both teams looking to improve their standings late in the season, this game promises to be a battle of will and skill on the ice.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Odds Info

Moneyline: Ottawa Senators +118 (FanDuel) / Buffalo Sabres -135 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Ottawa Senators -194 (FanDuel) / Buffalo Sabres +175 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – +105 (PointsBet) / -110 (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Mar. 27

Time: 06:00 PM

Location: KeyBank Center – Buffalo, NY


Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Ottawa Senators have 11 wins and 22 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Ottawa Senators have 15 wins and 25 losses.
  • This season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 41 overs and 29 unders.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Buffalo Sabres have 17 wins and 18 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Buffalo Sabres have 16 wins and 10 losses.
  • This season, the Buffalo Sabres have hit 28 overs and 44 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the 2023-2024 NHL season, the Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres have faced off three times, with the Sabres emerging victorious in two of those encounters. The first meeting on October 24, 2023, saw the Sabres win as the visiting team with a final score of 6-4, overcoming the Senators who had the advantage of three days of rest. The second game on December 31, 2023, ended in favor of the Senators with a 5-1 score, marking a strong home win. In the third matchup on January 11, 2024, the Sabres once again claimed victory with a 5-3 score, this time as the home team. Throughout these games, the Sabres have successfully covered the spread twice, while the Senators have done so once. The over/under betting has resulted in the over hitting twice and the under once, indicating a tendency towards higher-scoring games. Key statistics from these matchups include the Sabres’ strong offensive performance with a total of 12 goals scored across the three games, compared to the Senators’ 9 goals. The Senators have shown resilience in faceoffs, with an even split in the most recent game, but have struggled to convert power play opportunities, failing to score during the man advantage in the last game.

The most recent game between the Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres on January 11, 2024, ended with a 5-3 win for the Sabres. The game was characterized by a strong start from the Sabres, who scored three goals in the first period and maintained their lead throughout the game. The Senators attempted a comeback in the third period with two goals from Claude Giroux, but it was not enough to overturn the deficit. The Sabres’ Tage Thompson and Dylan Cozens were particularly impactful, contributing to multiple goals. The Senators’ goaltending duo of Joonas Korpisalo and Anton Forsberg faced 31 shots, saving 27, while the Sabres’ Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen made 25 saves on 28 shots. The game saw the Senators struggle on the power play, with no goals scored despite 40 minutes of power play time, and both teams recorded an equal number of hits at 24. The Sabres’ victory was also reflected in the betting odds, as they were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -122 and successfully covered the spread of -1.5.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Predictions

As the NHL season heads into its final stretch, the Ottawa Senators visit the Buffalo Sabres in what’s expected to be a highly competitive matchup. The Senators, currently on a two-game winning streak, are aiming to continue their role as spoilers in the Eastern Conference. With star players like Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stutzle, who leads the team with 31 goals and 68 points respectively, Ottawa’s offense has the potential to challenge any opponent. The Sabres, however, are not to be underestimated, especially with Jeff Skinner and Rasmus Dahlin leading their offensive line. Dahlin, with 52 points, has been a key playmaker for Buffalo this season.

Buffalo’s recent form at home has been a mix of highs and lows, but they’ll be looking to leverage their home-ice advantage at the KeyBank Center. The Sabres have shown they can put up a strong fight, as evidenced by their recent victory against the Calgary Flames, which they’ll be keen to replicate against the Senators. On the other hand, Ottawa’s recent victories, including a win over the Edmonton Oilers, have showcased their ability to take down formidable teams, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.

Defensively, both teams have had their struggles throughout the season, but goaltenders on each side have the ability to steal games. Ottawa’s Joonas Korpisalo and Buffalo’s Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen will be key figures in this matchup, with both showing flashes of brilliance between the pipes. Special teams could also play a significant role in this game, with power play and penalty kill units being tested. As the Senators and Sabres battle it out, keep an eye on the key player matchups, particularly how Ottawa’s defense handles the offensive threat posed by Skinner and Dahlin, and whether Buffalo can contain the dynamic duo of Tkachuk and Stutzle.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Pick

The Ottawa Senators come into this game with momentum, having won their last two games and showing they can compete with strong teams like the Edmonton Oilers. Despite their overall record, the Senators have been playing the role of spoiler effectively, and their recent form suggests they could continue this trend against the Buffalo Sabres. With the Senators’ top scorers, Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stutzle, leading the charge, they have the offensive firepower to challenge the Sabres’ defense. Additionally, the Senators’ moneyline odds of +118 provide good value for a team that has demonstrated the ability to pull off upsets.

While the historic head-to-head favors the Sabres, the Senators’ recent performances indicate a potential shift in momentum. The Senators’ resilience in faceoffs and their ability to keep games high-scoring, as evidenced by the over hitting in five of their last five games, suggest they can match up well against the Sabres. Furthermore, the Senators’ goaltending has been solid with Joonas Korpisalo at the helm, which could be a deciding factor in a close contest. Considering these factors, the Senators’ moneyline bet is a compelling choice for this matchup.

The Pick: Ottawa Senators +118 (FanDuel)

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Ottawa Senators

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Jakob Chychrun Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 -115 -115 3.4 3.43
Brady Tkachuk Points 0.5 7/10 -180 +140 1.1 1.13
Tim Stutzle Points 0.5 8/10 -180 +140 1.2 1.20
Brady Tkachuk Shots On Goal 4.5 7/10 +120 -150 5.1 5.14
Drake Batherson Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -130 +100 2.9 2.96
Jake Sanderson Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -180 +140 2.2 2.26

Buffalo Sabres

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Tage Thompson Points 0.5 7/10 -145 +114 1.0 1.07
Jordan Greenway Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -145 +114 2.1 2.06