Griffin Carroll

NFL Props: Tyler Over/Under 47.5 Receiving Yards In Week 16?

Bengals wide receiver #83 Tyler Boyd runs upfield during a 2021 road game.
Image Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

We’re running out of time to continue betting on wide receivers who play the Baltimore Ravens, so it’s imperative we keep that train moving.

Few strategies have been as profitable as betting wide receiver props against this Ravens secondary.

There are three solid options worth considering from the Cincinnati offense: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd.

Here’s why I prefer Tyler Boyd’s over in Week 16.

Boyd’s Recent Production

The prop: Tyler Boyd over 47.5 receiving yards on DraftKings (-115)

Tyler Boyd has been rolling of late, averaging 78 receiving yards per game in his past three. In that span, he’s seen 18 targets and clearly has the trust of his quarterback, Joe Burrow.

Boyd has also been on the field for over 85 percent of the snaps the past two weeks and should continue seeing a steady role in a high-flying Cincinnati offense.

In three straight and four of his last five games, Boyd has gone over this prop total.

The Baltimore Secondary

For those who have read my past articles here on Props.com, you’ll know how often I bet against the Ravens secondary.

You may also realize that you’re winning your bets if you target this defense. If you haven’t yet started, now is the week to do so.

Where the Ravens are particularly vulnerable is with chunk plays through the air. Baltimore ranks 30th in the NFL in opponent’s passing yards per attempt (7.5) and allows the most passing plays of over 20 yards, with 61 on the season.

With continued injuries depleting their depth, they don’t stand much of a chance of remedying their ways this late in the season.

BetPrep Trends

While I like Chase’s long reception prop and Higgins to score a touchdown, Boyd is the one who I prefer if looking for a straight yardage prop.

It was a search through BetPrep that put it on my radar. Boyd’s page offers some historical trend data that suggests he’s likely to go over his yards on Sunday. The highlights:

Caught for 51+ receiving yards in eight of his last 11 (72.73%) games when he averaged at least 15 yards per catch in his previous game. (avg. 66.0 per gm)

Caught for 51+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 14 (71.43%) games when he averaged at least 10 yards per target last game. (avg. 66.4 per gm)

Put it all together, and you have a prop you can feel comfortable about.