Each weekday, Props.com selects five intriguing player and/or team NBA props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes.
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With that, let’s dive into our top NBA Props for Thursday’s five-game slate.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook updated as of 11 a.m. ET on Feb. 17.
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Charlotte Hornets: PG LaMelo Ball
The prop: 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
The odds: Over -110/Under -120
The best of the Ball brothers has been balling recently (pun intended). He earned the first All-Star game nod of his career, and he’s been playing a ton of minutes given the team’s injury situation. Gordon Hayward is out for the season with an ankle injury while Jalen McDaniels and Cody Martin are also sidelined.
Those absences have allowed Ball to thrive. He’s averaged just under 36 minutes in four games without all three players, coming through with 27.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 6.3 assists over that span. That gives him a baseline well above his current PRA prop.
Overall, Ball has hit the over on this number in three of his past four games, and I expect him to do it again while taking on Miami.
Editor’s Note: New to NBA player props? Check out our complete NBA Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Charlotte Hornets: SF Miles Bridges
The prop: 1.5 Blocks + Steals
The odds: Over -125/Under -110
Bridges is known for his highlight-reel dunks, and he had another one in his last game at Minnesota:
Another day, another Miles Bridges dunk! 💥
(🎥: @hornets)
— theScore (@theScore) February 16, 2022
That’s probably like a 5.5 out of 10 on the Bridges scale, but don’t sleep on the elevation.
However, my interest in Bridges on Thursday comes on the defensive end of the court. His blocks + steals prop is set at just 1.5, and I think there’s significant value in that number.
For the season, Bridges is averaging 2.0 blocks + steals per game, and he’s capable of contributing in both departments. He has 16 games with multiple steals and 13 games with multiple blocks, and he’s hit the over on 1.5 blocks + steals in 32 of his 57 games.
Like Ball, Bridges is also benefitting from the team’s absences. He racked up more than 44 minutes in their last outing, which was his top mark of the season. That game did go to overtime, but it means Bridges still played more than 39 minutes in regulation. That gives him plenty of opportunities to pile up numbers.
Dallas Mavericks: PG Jalen Brunson
The prop: 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
The odds: Over -115/Under -120
Brunson has been overlooked for most of his pro career. He was drafted in the second round despite winning the Wooden Award and making the 2018 NCAA All-Tournament team. It took him three seasons to become a regular contributor in the Mavericks’ rotation, and he didn’t become a full-time starter until this season.
Brunson is in the midst of his best year as a professional, averaging career-bests in points (16.1), assists (5.4), and rebounds (3.9) per game. He’s also been extremely busy of late, racking up at least 37.4 minutes in each of his past three contests. He’s hit the over on his current PRA prop in his past two games, and he draws a decent matchup Thursday vs. the Pelicans.
Milwaukee Bucks: SF Khris Middleton
The prop: 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
The odds: Over -125/Under -105
Middleton is the Robin to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Batman in Milwaukee, but he’s one of the best Robins in the league. His shooting efficiency is a bit down this season, but he’s still averaged 19.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game. Not bad for a former second-round pick who was traded away by the Pistons.
He’ll face a tough matchup Thursday vs. the 76ers, but the Bucks’ implied team total of 115.25 still ranks third on the slate. That’s actually slightly higher than the Bucks’ regular-season average of 113.1 points per game.
Middleton has hit the over on 28.5 PRA in three of his past four games, and he should be able to do it again as long as this game stays competitive. He’s played at least 32 minutes in 27 games this season, and he’s racked up at least 29 points + rebounds + assists in 21 of them.
Philadelphia 76ers: PG Tyrese Maxey
The prop: 1.5 Three-Pointers Made
The odds: Over -110/Under -120
Maxey is going to be a very important player for the 76ers down the stretch. They traded away their best floor spacer in Seth Curry, so Maxey is going to have to partially fill that role. Joel Embiid and James Harden should generate plenty of open looks from 3-point range for their teammates, and Maxey has shot 39.5% from 3-point range.
However, Maxey is far from a volume 3-point shooter. He’s averaged just 3.5 3-point attempts per game this season, and he’s had four attempts or fewer in each of his past nine games. That makes the under on 1.5 made 3-pointers appealing. He’s going to need to shoot 50% or better from behind the arc to bury us. He’s capable of doing it – he’s hit at least two 3-pointers in three of his past nine games – but the math is still in our favor.
