Wild vs. Flames Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Dec. 05

Nov 12, 2023; Saint Paul, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Wild right wing Mats Zuccarello (36) in action against the Dallas Stars in the third period at Xcel Energy Center.
Image Credit: Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Minnesota Wild hit the road to face the Calgary Flames.

The Calgary Flames (10-11-3) are set to host the Minnesota Wild (8-10-4) in a Western Conference clash. With both teams looking to climb the standings, this matchup is crucial for gaining momentum as the season progresses.

Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames Odds Info

Moneyline: Minnesota Wild -112 (DraftKings) / Calgary Flames -108 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Minnesota Wild +220 (DraftKings) / Calgary Flames -270 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.0 – -106 (BetRivers) / -115 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Dec. 05

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome – Calgary, AB

TV: ESPN+

Minnesota Wild Betting Trends

  • This season, the Minnesota Wild have hit 13 overs and 9 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Minnesota Wild have hit 6 overs and 5 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Minnesota Wild have hit 6 overs and 5 unders.

Calgary Flames Betting Trends

  • This season, the Calgary Flames have hit 15 overs and 9 unders.
  • At home this season, the Calgary Flames have hit 7 overs and 3 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Calgary Flames have hit 7 overs and 4 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Calgary Flames and Minnesota Wild have faced off three times, with the Flames emerging victorious in two of those encounters. The first meeting took place on December 7, 2022, where Calgary secured a home win with a score of 5-3. The subsequent games were both held in the 2022-2023 season, with Minnesota claiming a win on Calgary’s ice on March 4, 2023, by a score of 3-0, and Calgary responding with a 2-1 shootout victory in Minnesota on March 7, 2023. In terms of betting statistics, the Flames have covered the spread twice, while the Wild have done so once. The over/under results show a tendency towards lower-scoring games, with the under hitting twice and the over only once. Key statistics from these matchups include the Flames’ strong goaltending performance, particularly in the most recent game where they saved all 40 shots, and the Wild’s inability to capitalize on power plays, failing to score during their man-advantage across all three games.

The most recent game between the Calgary Flames and Minnesota Wild on March 7, 2023, was a defensive showcase that ended in a narrow shootout victory for the Flames. The final score was 2-1 in favor of Calgary, with the only goals of the game coming in the shootout phase. The Flames’ Frederick Gaudreau, Nazem Kadri, and Tyler Toffoli were the scorers in the decisive shootout. During regulation and overtime, both teams were unable to score, with Calgary’s Jacob Markstrom stopping all 40 shots he faced, earning a shutout and a perfect save percentage. The Wild’s Filip Gustavsson also put on a strong performance, saving 26 of 27 shots. Despite the Wild having a rest advantage and a higher season win percentage at the time, they could not overcome the Flames, who were the underdogs based on the closing moneyline. The game also featured a significant number of blocked shots, with the Wild blocking 23 and the Flames 10, and a close faceoff battle, which Calgary narrowly won with a 52.5% success rate.

Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames Predictions

The Calgary Flames, currently 10th in the Western Conference, are aiming to bounce back from a recent loss and improve their home record. The Flames have shown resilience this season, often playing well as underdogs, and will look to leverage their home-ice advantage at the Scotiabank Saddledome. With key players like Elias Lindholm leading in goals and points, and Jonathan Huberdeau setting up plays, Calgary’s offense will be a focal point against the Wild’s defense.

On the other side, the Minnesota Wild, sitting at 12th in the conference, are coming into this game on a three-game winning streak, looking to extend their success on the road. The Wild have seen a surge in performance with Joel Eriksson Ek leading the team in goals and Mats Zuccarello contributing significantly in assists and points. Minnesota’s recent coaching change seems to have sparked a positive turnaround, and they’ll be keen to continue this trend against the Flames.

Defensively, both teams have had their struggles but also shown moments of brilliance, with goaltenders on each side capable of stealing games. The Flames’ Jacob Markstrom and the Wild’s Filip Gustavsson will be key in net, making crucial saves to keep their teams in the game. Offensively, the matchup to watch will be between the Flames’ top scorers and the Wild’s defensive unit, which has been tightening up under their new coach. With both teams fighting for a better position in the standings, expect a competitive and intense game with playoff implications on the line.

Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames Pick

Considering the recent trends and the offensive capabilities of both teams, the ‘Over’ on a total line of 6.0 goals is the more compelling pick for this matchup. The Calgary Flames have consistently hit the over this season, with 15 overs against 9 unders, and their home games have tended to be high-scoring affairs, with 7 overs in 10 games. The Minnesota Wild, while more balanced in their over/under record, have shown an uptick in scoring recently, with Joel Eriksson Ek and Mats Zuccarello leading the charge. The Wild’s three-game winning streak has been marked by a combined total of 13 goals scored, indicating their offense is clicking at the right time.

While the historic head-to-head data suggests a tendency towards lower-scoring games, the current form of both teams, especially the Wild’s recent offensive surge, suggests that this game could break the pattern. Additionally, both teams have had moments of defensive vulnerability this season, which could lead to more scoring opportunities. Given the Flames’ over tendency at home and the Wild’s renewed confidence under a new coach, betting on the over seems like a sound choice for a game that could very well turn into a high-scoring affair.

The Pick: Over 6.0 -115 (BetRivers)

Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Minnesota Wild

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Mats Zuccarello Points 0.5 9/10 -210 +160 1.3 1.20
Mats Zuccarello Assists 0.5 8/10 -125 -105 1.0 0.98
Joel Eriksson Ek Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 -150 +120 3.7 3.58

Calgary Flames

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
MacKenzie Weegar Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 +100 -130 3.3 3.29