Florida vs. Tennessee Predictions & Best Bets – NCAAF Week 4 Picks

Sep 17, 2022; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA; Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Hendon Hooker (5) throws the ball during the first half against the Akron Zips at Neyland Stadium.
Image Credit: Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports

Anthony Richardson and Gators have their first road test as they head into Knoxville to take on Hendon Hooker and Tennessee.

There’s been a lot of attention on Richardson as many believed he’s regressed over the last two weeks. Coming away with a win could help fans get excited about him once again.

Florida vs. Tennessee Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Florida +10 (-110)+205O 62 (-110)
@ Tennessee-10 (-110)+360U 62 (-110)

 Odds via BetFred Sportsbook as of 4 p.m. ET on Sept 20. 

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Sept. 24
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Neyland Stadium — Knoxville, TN
  • TV: CBS

Florida vs. Tennessee Trends

  • The Under is 9-4-1 in Florida’s last 14 games vs, SEC teams.
  • The OVER is 12-3 in Tennessee’s last 15 games.
  • Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs, SEC teams.
  • Florida has lost five straight ATS against SEC opponents.
  • As of Wednesday afternoon, DraftKings reports that 44% of tickets and 52% of the money are on favorite Tennessee ATS.
  • DraftKings also reports that 55% of betting tickets and 57% of the handle have selected Over 62 total points.

Can Anthony Richardson Regain  Momentum?

After that first big win against Utah, fans got on the Anthony Richardson hype train. As it turns out, that may have been premature. Kentucky was able to shut him down, and then he didn’t factor much into the win against South Florida. So where does he go from here?

You’re starting to see Richardson take too much time in the pocket and not looking off defenders. The USF secondary could read him well and jumped a few of his passes.

Looking at the team overall, they’re off to a great start in the Billy Napier era. The offensive line has been outstanding, pushing Florida to a 212 rushing yard average per contest. The Gators are also playing disciplined with few penalties and haven’t turned over the ball much. There’s plenty to be excited about.

Tennessee’s Talented Offense

Football matters once again in Knoxville. The Volunteers are back, and they’ve already been battle tested with an overtime win at Pittsburgh.

The QB/WR/RB tandem of Hendon Hooker, Cedric Tillman, and Jaylon Knight could be the best in the SEC. Some may even say that group is top 10 in the country.

Tennessee played in several shootouts last year, but the defense is looking better. The Volunteers forced Pitt to abandon their primary plan of attack: the run game. That ultimately led Tennessee to a crucial road victory to give them plenty of momentum heading into Saturday’s rivalry against Florida.

Florida vs. Tennessee Predictions

If Anthony Richardson wants to keep his stock from falling, he needs to make a big impact on this game. The Vols have looked great upfront so far, and as good as the run game has been, they may get some pushback.

The Florida defense is still their weakest point. They were torched by the South Florida ground game, and so far, they’re last in the SEC in third-down efficiency.

It will take a lot of points for the Gators to stay in the game, and it isn’t happening against this veteran squad on the road. The book is out on Richardson, and the Vols have what it takes to slow him down and control this game. 

Pick: Tennessee -10 | -110 at BetFred Sportsbook