Coyotes vs. Stars Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Nov. 14

Nov 9, 2023; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Arizona Coyotes right wing Clayton Keller (9) controls the puck against the St. Louis Blues during the second period at Enterprise Center.
Image Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Nov. 14

We have your Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Arizona Coyotes hit the road to face the Dallas Stars.

The Dallas Stars (10-3-1) are set to host the Arizona Coyotes (7-6-1) in a Western Conference showdown. With the Stars looking to extend their three-game winning streak and the Coyotes aiming to build on their recent victory, this matchup promises to be a battle of resilience and strategy.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Odds Info

Moneyline: Arizona Coyotes +168 (FanDuel) / Dallas Stars -205 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Arizona Coyotes -140 (PointsBet) / Dallas Stars +115 (PointsBet)

Total: 6.0 – -102 (DraftKings) / -118 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Nov. 14

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: American Airlines Center – Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN+

Arizona Coyotes Betting Trends

  • This season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 9 overs and 5 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 5 overs and 3 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 7 overs and 3 unders.

Dallas Stars Betting Trends

  • This season, the Dallas Stars have hit 6 overs and 8 unders.
  • At home this season, the Dallas Stars have hit 2 overs and 3 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Dallas Stars have hit 5 overs and 6 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Dallas Stars and Arizona Coyotes have faced off four times, with the Stars emerging victorious in each encounter. These matchups took place between November 2022 and March 2023. In terms of betting statistics, the Stars have consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in all four games. The over/under betting results leaned towards high-scoring affairs, with the over hitting three times and the under just once. The Stars demonstrated offensive prowess, particularly in the game on November 3, 2022, where they scored seven goals against the Coyotes. The Coyotes, on the other hand, struggled to find the back of the net, being shut out in one game and only managing to score more than two goals once in these matchups. The home advantage did not seem to play a significant role, as both teams split the wins evenly at home and away. The Stars’ goaltending was notably strong, with Jake Oettinger recording a shutout in one game and Scott Wedgewood boasting a save percentage of 0.933 in another.

The most recent game between the two teams occurred on March 31, 2023, with the Dallas Stars defeating the Arizona Coyotes with a final score of 5-2. The Stars’ performance was dominant in several key areas, including special teams and faceoffs. They capitalized on 20% of their power play opportunities and controlled the faceoff circle with a win percentage of 63.5%. The Coyotes, despite converting on 50% of their power play chances, struggled in faceoffs, winning only 36.5% of them. The Stars’ scoring was spread across their lineup, with goals from Joe Pavelski, Roope Hintz, Jason Robertson, Jamie Benn, and Max Domi, while the Coyotes’ goals came from Juuso Valimaki and Connor Mackey. The Stars’ goaltender, Jake Oettinger, faced 18 shots and made 16 saves, resulting in a save percentage of 0.889, whereas the Coyotes’ Karel Vejmelka faced 30 shots, making 26 saves with a save percentage of 0.867.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Predictions

The Dallas Stars have been showcasing their strength this season, currently holding a solid record and sitting at the top of their division. Their recent performances have been underpinned by the impressive play of Wyatt Johnston, who leads the team with 7 goals and 13 points, and the defensive prowess of Miro Heiskanen. The Stars’ ability to maintain a high win percentage, especially at home, makes them formidable opponents. They also boast a strong special teams unit, with a penalty kill rate that ranks among the best in the league.

On the other side, the Arizona Coyotes have had a more balanced season but are coming off a win that they hope to use as a springboard for better consistency. Clayton Keller and Logan Cooley have been key contributors for the Coyotes, with Keller leading in goals and points and Cooley setting up plays with a team-high in assists. The Coyotes will need to leverage their power play success and improve their faceoff win percentage to challenge the Stars effectively.

This game will likely hinge on key player matchups, particularly the goaltending duel between the Stars’ Jake Oettinger and the Coyotes’ Karel Vejmelka. Oettinger’s save percentage has been a cornerstone for Dallas, while Vejmelka will be looking to replicate his recent performances to keep the Coyotes competitive. With both teams averaging similar goals per game, the battle could come down to defensive execution and capitalizing on power play opportunities. Fans should keep an eye on the Stars’ ability to control the game’s pace and the Coyotes’ resilience in responding to pressure.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Pick

Considering the recent trends and statistics, the ‘Under’ appears to be the most compelling pick for the upcoming game between the Arizona Coyotes and the Dallas Stars. The Stars have hit the under in 8 of their season games, and when playing at home, the under has prevailed in 3 out of 5 games. This trend suggests a tendency towards lower-scoring games, especially when Dallas is hosting. Additionally, the Coyotes have also seen the under hit in 7 of their season games, indicating that they too are part of matchups that don’t always light up the scoreboard. With both teams having strong goaltenders in Jake Oettinger and Karel Vejmelka, who have shown the ability to keep the puck out of the net, a high-scoring affair seems less likely.

While the historic head-to-head data shows that the over has hit three times in the last four meetings, the most recent game between these two teams resulted in a combined total of 7 goals, which is just above the line set for this game. The Stars’ defensive strength, leading the league in penalty kill rate, and the Coyotes’ struggles in faceoffs, winning only 36.5% in their last matchup, could lead to fewer scoring opportunities. Given these factors, along with the Stars’ recent trend of hitting the under at home and the Coyotes’ overall trend towards the under, betting on a lower-scoring game seems to be the prudent choice for this matchup.

The Pick: Under 6.0 -102 (DraftKings)

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Arizona Coyotes

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Clayton Keller Points 0.5 7/10 -190 +145 1.0 0.92
Matias Maccelli Points 0.5 8/10 +100 -130 0.8 0.80
Clayton Keller Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -135 +105 3.7 3.61
Sean Durzi Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -160 +124 1.8 1.84

Dallas Stars

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Matt Duchene Points 0.5 8/10 -115 -115 1.1 1.19
Jason Robertson Points 0.5 7/10 -238 +180 1.1 1.20