Did you see the 63-yard touchdown pass by Justin Herbert? How about Patrick Mahomes running to his left at six miles-per-hour (according to Next Gen Stats) then throwing 53 yards in the air to his right? Or the Aaron Rodgers laser to Davante Adams for a touchdown right before halftime? An abundance of excellent quarterback play translates to so many NFL props to wager at the position.
Here are the best value props for Week 15.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep updated 6 a.m. ET on Dec. 15.
Josh Allen Vs. Carolina Panthers
The Prop: Josh Allen Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 265.5 yards (-118)/Under 265.5 yards (-114)
You might be tempted to bet Josh Allen for total yards. He did just have a magical game against the Bucs in which he threw for over 300 yards while rushing for more than 100. The Bills have virtually no running game, and Allen is easily their best threat on the ground.
Talked with @gregcosell this morning on Josh Allen…
His 2nd half performance was one of the best we’ve seen from a QB this season.
Down 24-3 vs. Brady (on the road), no run game, playing hurt. And no real margin for error.
Made play after play. @NFLMatchup pic.twitter.com/TJsVJS4lpj
— Matt Bowen (@MattBowen41) December 13, 2021
Resist that urge. His toe is injured, and he left Sunday’s game wearing a boot. He is going to run less, a lot less, and that means more passing. Instead of total yards, go for the passing yards for Allen. With a rematch with the Patriots looming, the Bills are going to protect Allen’s foot and let him play more in the pocket.
The Panthers have given up on the season, and Allen goes OVER in passing yards against them.
Editor’s Note: New to NFL props? Check out our complete NFL Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Russell Wilson Vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Prop: Russell Wilson Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 245.5 yards (-114)/Under 245.5 yards (-118)
The last time Russell Wilson faced the Rams, he injured his finger and missed a month of football. Since coming back, he simply hasn’t looked the same. Seattle has won two straight, but the last of those came against the Texans. Most notably, we haven’t seen Russ “cook” in any of the five games since returning from injury.
The Rams are coming off their best performance of the season, as they did a nice job of containing the dangerous Arizona offense. The task at hand is easier at home against the Seahawks, and that means that Wilson will finish UNDER 245.5 passing yards.
Ben Roethlisberger Vs. Tennessee Titans
The Prop: Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 271.5 yards (-115)/Under 271.5 yards (-115)
Ben Roethlisberger is washed up. He can’t throw deep. He needs to retire. He’s a big part of the problem with the Steelers’ offense.
All of that is true, and yet because of Roethlisberger, the Steelers nearly pulled off two of the most improbable comebacks of the season. At the Chargers, the Steelers scored 27 points in the fourth quarter, largely because of Ben. This past week they scored 21 fourth-quarter points at the Vikings, and Ben finished with more than 300 passing yards.
Now he faces a Titans team that gave up 310 yards to Mac Jones and 298 yards to Trevor Siemian. Even Zach Wilson almost went for 300 against Tennessee.
Roethlisberger is washed. He can’t throw deep. He probably does need to retire. He’s also going to hit the OVER vs. Tennessee.