We have reached Week 15, and not a single team has clinched a playoff position yet, and only four teams to this point have been eliminated. This is just the third time since 1978 that we’ve gone this far into the season without at least one team already in the postseason. That means we are in for a wild finish and some great individual performances. Let’s take a look at the best NFL player props for the Sunday slate of Week 15.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep updated 5 a.m. ET on Dec. 15.
Joe Burrow Vs. Denver Broncos
The Prop: Joe Burrow Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 253.5 yards (-116)/Under 253.5 yards (-114)
The Bengals and Broncos are two of the five teams currently at 7-6 in the AFC, and three of those teams are going to miss the playoffs. That makes this game incredibly important for both teams and a great opportunity for Joe Burrow to prove that he belongs among the elite quarterbacks in the league.
Cincinnati has lost two straight, but Burrow has racked up the yardage – going for 300 yards against the Chargers and 348 yards against the 49ers. Playing in Denver late in the season can be tricky, but the weather forecast is for sunshine and seasonably warm temperatures, and Burrow should have another big game.
Speechless. #ProBowlVote + #JaMarrChase + #JoeBurrow
Watch on CBS pic.twitter.com/rPxhN58UnC
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) December 12, 2021
In this battle of playoff hopefuls, the OVER on Joe Burrow looks like a good bet.
Aaron Jones Vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Prop: Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 48.5 yards (-112)/Under 48.5 yards (-118)
There’s no denying that Aaron Jones is a talented running back, but there’s also no denying that he’s being used less and less in the Packers offense. He hasn’t topped ten carries in his last three games, and because of that, he hasn’t topped 35 yards rushing either.
Even in the game with Chicago, when Jones averaged 7.0 yards per carry, the lion’s share of the touches went to A.J. Dillon. He got 15 carries to the five carries given to Jones. The week before that, Dillion had 20 carries.
In a tough and important matchup against the Ravens, Aaron Jones stays UNDER 48.5 rushing yards.
Editor’s Note: New to NFL player props? Check out our complete NFL Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Deebo Samuel Vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Prop: Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 70.5 yards (-114)/Under 70.5 yards (-118)
Deebo Samuel missed a game because of a groin injury, but even without that absent week, he’s become one of the forgotten men in the 49ers’ pass offense. There are two main reasons for this.
One reason is the rise of George Kittle, who has reasserted himself as the primary threat in the 49ers passing game. The other reason is that Samuel has now become one of the features of the 49ers running game.
On Sunday, he was targeted just once by Jimmy Garoppolo on a pass, but eight times he carried the football. In his previous game against the Vikings, Samuel had one catch on four targets but six carries for 66 yards.
Until the lines start reflecting the change in his usage, hammer the UNDER.