Our Monday night matchups haven’t been the best this season. Sub-.500 teams and playoff wannabes have been the norm. But that changes this week with one of the most anticipated games of the year: the defending AFC East champion Bills, hosting the return of the dynasty, the New England Patriots.
Let’s dive into the best NFL Player Props within this Monday night showdown.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep updated 10 a.m. ET on Dec. 2.
Mac Jones vs. Buffalo Bills
The Prop: Mac Jones Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 241.5 yards (-116)/Under 241.5 yards (-114)
Patriots rookie quarterback Mac Jones is the favorite to win the Rookie of the Year Award because he’s been incredibly accurate this season and incredibly smart in his decision-making. He had one game with three interceptions, but since that Week 3 loss to New Orleans, he’s thrown just five picks in nine games.
He plays well inside the system and has had some excellent games when the brightest spotlight. Monday, with first place on the line, the stage is huge, and he gets a Bills team now trying to figure out life without their best cornerback, Tre’Davious White.
Jones has gone over 250 in five games this season, and he’ll make it six on Monday.
Josh Allen vs. New England Patriots
The Prop: Josh Allen Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 30.5 yards (-109)/Under 30.5 yards (-120)
The formula is simple for the Bills offense. When quarterback Josh Allen is willing to tuck the ball and run, this team plays well. When he doesn’t, they don’t. Note the game against the Colts in which they lost 41-15, and Allen ran for just 18 yards, as compared to last week’s 31-6 win, where Allen ran for 43.
He’s not having the same year through the air that he did in 2020, but his legs still work, and as he goes on the ground, so goes Buffalo.
The Patriots will get after him in the pass rush. Other than Stefon Diggs, his wide receivers can’t get open, and all of that adds up to 40 or more rushing yards for Allen on Monday night.
Kendrick Bourne vs. Buffalo Bills
The Prop: Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 40.5 yards (-114)/Under 40.5 yards (-116)
Re-born in New England is wide receiver Kendrick Bourne, who is on the verge of breaking his career-high in receiving yards for the season. His target catch rate of 79.2% easily beats his career-best. He also has had the two best games of his five-year career this season.
Kendrick did THAT. @BournePoly11 | #ForeverNE
📺: @NFLonCBS / Patriots app pic.twitter.com/1ykMFOfI4T
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 28, 2021
He comes into this game having gone for 61, 42, and 98 yards in his last three games, and he averages nearly 52 yards a game receiving.
The Bills have been good against the pass, and they haven’t allowed a single 100-yard receiver. But Bourne only needs 41, and 14 different receivers have reached that mark against Buffalo.
Bourne doesn’t have a huge day, but it’s big enough to hit the over.
