The Jets are set to face the Buffalo Bills on Monday, Sep 11. The game is scheduled for 8:15 ET while airing on ABC. Buffalo enters this game as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 46. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Jets vs Bills predictions below.
Jets vs. Bills Odds
- Spread: Bills -2
- Total 46
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Sep 11
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
- TV: ABC
Bills Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Bills have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Bills have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 27 points per game in this stretch.
- Against the spread, the Bills have went 2-3 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 4-1 straight up.
Jets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Jets have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their five previous home games, New York has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 9 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Jets have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. New York posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
Can Buffalo Deliver Being Favored on the Road?
The Bills completed the 2022-2023 season with a regular season record of 13-3 and were 1st in the AFC-East. The season came to a close with a Divisional Round loss to the Bengals, where the score was 27-10. In games within their division, the Bills posted a 5-2 record. They had an 8-2 record at home and were 6-2 in away games.
The previous season finished with Buffalo ranking 3rd in points per game, with an average of 27.7 points per contest. When it comes to offensive efficiency, their average of 6.1 yards per play placed them 2nd in the NFL. On the ground, the Bills carried the ball an average of 26.4 times per contest, finishing 16th in the rankings. In terms of passing yards, they were 5th in the league.
Reviewing the Bills’ defensive performance, the Bills concluded last season ranked 7th in yards allowed, conceding an average of 19.1 points per game (4th). When it comes to their pass rush, Buffalo was 20th in quarterback hits and stood 9th in sacks.
Will New York Win at Home?
Looking ahead to the upcoming season, the Jets are focused on moving up the ranks after concluding last season in last place in the AFC-East and holding the 10th position in the AFC. With an overall record of 7-10, New York’s performance included going 4-5 on the road and 3-5 at home. Within divisional matchups, the Jets finished with a 2-4 record.
The Jets concluded the previous season with a 24th ranking in yards per game, averaging 17.4 points per game (29th). In terms of passing, New York was 7th in passing attempts and 15th in passing yards. The Jets averaged 99.2 rushing yards per game (25th).
The Jets’ defense wrapped up the previous season at 4th in yards allowed, conceding an average of 18.6 points per game (2nd). When assessing their pass rush, New York was 28th in quarterback hits and finished 5th in sacks.
Jets vs. Bills Player Prop
The player prop market has odds for Breece Hall to score a touchdown against the Bills at +138.
At this payout, it implies a 42% probability of him recording at least one touchdown in the game. The prop bet I like for the Jets is to take Hall to score. I’d recommend locking this in at +138.
The Prop: Breece Hall to Score a Touchdown +138
Looking for more NFL Props? We list our 8 Best NFL Player Props for Week 1.
Jets vs. Bills Predictions
I like the Jets as home underdogs, and I believe there’s value on the spread. Their current odds are +2.5, and I’m placing my bet at this number.
The Pick: Jets +2.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook
More NFL Props & Predictions
Props.com is stepping up its game for NFL Week 1 by offering a range of articles focused on props and picks, like the following:
- 8 Best NFL Player Props – Calvin Ridley gets plenty of support.
- 5 NFL PrizePicks Predictions – Grab Dak Prescott Over 0.5 Yards!
- NFL Parlay Picks – went +8.43 units last year.
- NFL Anytime TD Scorer – for Sunday afternoon & SNF.
- First Touchdown Scorer Props – for Sunday afternoon & SNF.