The Eagles are the last undefeated team in the NFL and oppose an NFC East foe they already mopped the floor with earlier this season. So will they conclude Week 10 with a repeat of the Week 3 beatdown? We’ll take a look at the pertinent info for both teams before declaring our Eagles vs. Commanders predictions.
Eagles vs. Commanders Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +10.5 (-108) | +400 | O 43.5 (-110) |
| @ Eagles | -10.5 (-112) | -520 | U 43.5 (-110) |
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of 9:30 p.m. ET on Nov. 13.
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Nov. 14
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field — Philadelphia, PA
- TV: ESPN
Eagles vs. Commanders Trends
- The Eagles opened as 10.5-point favorites, and the line hasn’t budged.
- Philadelphia is 4-0 against the spread at home.
- The Eagles are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games against an opponent with a losing record.
- Philadelphia is 5-2 in their last seven games.
- The Eagles are 5-2 in their last seven games following a straight-up win.
- The Commanders are 4-9-1 against the spread in their last 14 games following an against-the-spread loss.
- Wahington is 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 Monday games.
- The Commanders are 1-4-1 against the spread versus a team with a winning record.
The Eagles Are Outstanding
The Eagles have outscored their opponents by 90 points this season. They’re talented on both sides of the ball, boasting a top-shelf offense and defense.
According to Pro-Football-Reference, the Eagles are ninth in yards per play (5.8) and second in scoring offense (28.1 points per game). In addition, per Football Outsiders, Philadelphia is fourth in total offense Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA), fifth in rush offense DVOA, and third in pass offense DVOA.
The Eagles are also impressive on defense. They’ve allowed the second-fewest yards per play (4.7), forced the most turnovers (18), are tied for the sixth-most sacks (26), and are fourth in scoring defense, holding opponents to only 16.9 points per game. Either unit can carry the Eagles to victory, and when their offense and defense are humming, they can blow out their opponents.
Washington’s Offense and Pass Defense Are Lousy
The Commanders aren’t in the same class as the Eagles. First, they’re 28th in total offense DVOA, 27th in rush offense DVOA, and 29th in pass offense DVOA. Additionally, Washington’s 29th in yards per play (4.9) and 26th in scoring offense (17.7).
Washington isn’t as bad on defense, but they’re nothing to write home about. The Commanders are 13th in total defense DVOA, second in rush defense DVOA, and 25th in pass defense DVOA. They’re also 16th in scoring defense (21.3 points per game).
A below-average offense that’s cracked 20 points only once in their last seven games is unlikely to keep up with Philadelphia’s high-octane and multi-faceted offense. And Washington’s elite run defense might have made this a competitive contest against the 2021 Eagles, but this year’s version of the team is a nightmare for defenses because of the strides Jalen Hurts has made as a passer and the addition of stud wideout A.J. Brown to the pass-catching corps.
Eagles vs. Commanders Predictions
The Commanders have been beaten handily by two of the four teams with a winning record they’ve squared off against this year. The Eagles beat them by 16 points in Week 3, and the Cowboys beat them by 15 in Week 4.
Meanwhile, the Eagles have been juggernauts since their bye in Week 7. They smashed the Steelers 35-13 and drilled the Texans 29-17 last week. Interestingly, their median margin of victory this year has been 10.5 points, right in line with the game’s spread.
Still, they destroyed the Commanders earlier this year, beating them 24-8 — albeit with Carson Wentz starting for the Commanders. And since they’ve been clicking on all cylinders since their Week 7 bye, I’m confident they’ll win convincingly again. Finally, they’ve won their four home games this year by margins of 17, 8, 9, and 22 points, good for an average margin of victory of 14 points and a median margin of 13.
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -10.5 | -112 at FanDuel Sportsbook
