Toledo vs. Ball State Predictions, Odds & Picks – Tuesday, Nov. 8

Ball State RB Carson Steele (33) prior to a college football game between the Western Illinois Leathernecks and Ball State Cardinals on September 2, 2021 at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, IN.
(Photo by James Black/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

How about a little MACtion football on a Tuesday night? Ball State will hit the road to face Toledo in a matchup of the two top teams in the West division of the MAC. Both teams have won four of their last five games, so something’s gotta give in this nationally televised contest. Let’s break down our top Toledo vs. Ball State predictions and picks while looking at the odds.

Toledo vs. Ball State Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Ball State+11.5 (-110)+320O 50.5 (-110)
@ Toledo-11.5 (-110)-425U 50.5 (-110)

Odds via Betway as of 10 a.m. ET on Nov. 8. New to Betway? Check out our Betway Review to see how you can redeem a $250 risk-free bet.

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Nov. 8
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Glass Bowl – Toledo, OH
  • TV: ESPN

Will Toledo Be Without Its QB?

This is an interesting matchup, and it should be a pretty fun game to watch on ESPN. The main question heading into this contest revolves around the status of Toledo QB Dequan Finn. The sophomore signal-caller did not play in the Rockets’ last game against Eastern Michigan. Toledo pulled out a 27-24 win on the road while backup QB Tucker Gleason looked solid with 238 passing yards and three touchdown passes.

Still, Finn has impressed this year, and Toledo would feel his absence if he can’t play in this game.

Line Movement Toward Ball State

We probably won’t receive any official word on Finn’s status prior to the game. Remember, this is college football, and they don’t have to report injuries the same way the NFL does.

However, the line movement seems to indicate that Finn will not play on Tuesday. The line opened at Toledo -16.5, and it has fallen to the current spread of Toledo -11.5 as of Tuesday morning. The total has also dropped from 55.5 to 50.5.

Toledo vs. Ball State Predictions

I believe Ball State will play the Rockets close in this weekday battle. While Toledo freshman QB Gleason looked admirable against Eastern Michigan last week, his accuracy (15/27) wasn’t great.

Ball State is a legitimate running underdog behind sophomore RB Carson Steele, who has 1,082 yards and nine rushing touchdowns this season. He has tallied 100+ rushing yards in 7-of-9 games while piling up 192 yards at Kent State last Tuesday.

Expect Ball State to run the ball, melt the clock, and keep this one close. I wouldn’t be overly surprised if the Cardinals take this game outright, but we’ll keep it safe and take the points.

The Pick: Ball State +11.5 | -110 at Betway Sportsbook