Need a Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Nuggets hit the road to face the Timberwolves on Sunday, May 12 at 8:00 ET. The current total stands at 204.5, with the Timberwolves being favored by 3 at home. Keep reading to get our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props and predictions.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves -3
- Total 204.5
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Game Info
- Date: Sunday, May 12
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
- TV: TNT
Nuggets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 112 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their last three home contests, Minnesota has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 111 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Denver picked up a 27-point win over the Timberwolves in the most recent game of this series, winning 117-90. The Nuggets were underdogs heading into the game, getting 3.5 points, but they easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 205 points, and the teams surpassed that with a combined 207 points.
Denver’s defense was excellent in this game, holding the Timberwolves to just 43.7% shooting from the field. Minnesota made just 10 threes, which was below their average. On the other side, the Nuggets shot 53.8% from the field and made 14 threes. Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray each scored 24 points for the Nuggets, with Jokic also adding 14 rebounds and 9 assists. Anthony Edwards was the leading scorer for the Timberwolves with 19 points.
Will the Denver Defense Show Up on the Road?
The Nuggets are 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 57-25. In non-conference games, they went 24-6 and are 33-19 against other Western Conference teams.
As the underdog, the Nuggets are 6-6 this season and have covered the spread in four straight games. On the road, they are 19-24 ATS compared to 22-23 ATS at home.
This season, Denver has gone 36-52-2 on the over/under, and their games have averaged a combined 223.1 points. Today’s O/U line is 204.5.
In their last game against the Timberwolves, the Nuggets won 117-90 as 3.5-point underdogs. The teams combined to go over the O/U line of 205 points.
Overall, the Nuggets are 2nd in the Western Conference and are 41-47 ATS for the season. On the road, they have an ATS record of 19-24 compared to 22-23 ATS at home.
Denver’s offense is averaging 115.5 points per game this season, which is 5th in the league. Overall, they have outscored the league average in 50% of their games. The team’s scoring average at home is 116.5 points per game compared to 111.3 on the road. Looking at their field goal percentage, the Nuggets are the 4th best shooting team this year, hitting 49% of their shots from the field.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 26 points, 14.4 rebounds, and 9.8 assists over his last five games. This has come while hitting 49.5% of his shots from the field. Michael Porter Jr. has also been playing well of late, averaging 20.6 points per game on a field goal percentage of 50.7%. For the season, the team is shooting 38.8% from three, which is one of the better marks in the league.
On the season, the Nuggets have been one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 6th in points allowed per game at 109.1. They have been even better on the road, giving up just 110.1 points per contest, which is also 6th best in the NBA.
Denver has done a great job of defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.1% from beyond the arc, which is 2nd best in the league. They have also been able to limit three-point attempts, giving up just 31.4 per game, which is 2nd fewest in the NBA.
In terms of rebounding, the Nuggets have been solid, ranking 7th in the league at 44.4 boards per contest. They have also been able to protect the rim, coming in 11th in blocked shots per game at 5.6.
Does Minnesota Have What it Takes at Home?
Minnesota is 49-17 as the favorite this season and is favored by 3 points today. In their games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have gone 31-34 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +8.4 points per game.
The Timberwolves have gone 15-8 against the spread as the underdog this season, and they are 13-10 straight up in those games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 20-24 at home and 26-18 on the road.
This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 46-43, and their games have averaged 218.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 204.5 is lower than their season average of 220.2.
In their last game against the Nuggets, the Timberwolves lost by a score of 117-90. They were favored by 3.5 points in that game and finished with an ATS loss. The combined scoring in the game was 207, and the O/U line was 205.
Minnesota is currently 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 56-26. Against Western Conference teams, they are 37-15 and 12-4 in the Northwest Division. The Timberwolves have won four straight games on the road and are 30-15 on the road this season.
Minnesota is averaging 113 points per game this season, which is 18th in the league. Their scoring average at home is 111.5 points per contest, which is 24th in the NBA. Despite their lower scoring average, the Timberwolves have been efficient on offense, as they are 8th in field goal percentage and 3rd in three-point shooting percentage.
Anthony Edwards has been carrying the Timberwolves offense of late, averaging 33 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he hit 57% of his shots from the field. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 21.8 points per game for the season and 21.4 points per game in his last five games. He also pulled down 8.3 rebounds per contest this year.
When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the league this season. They are giving up just 106.1 points per game, which is tops in the NBA. At home, they have been even better, allowing just 103.6 points per contest.
One area where the Timberwolves have been particularly good is defending the three-point line. On the year, they are holding opponents to just 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc. In terms of made threes allowed per game, Minnesota is 4th in the NBA at 11.4.
Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have been even stingier on defense, holding teams to just 104.2 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have made 39.6% of their three-point attempts.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 27.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -127 while the under is at -108. With his prop at 27.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 30. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 60.0% and knocking down one three.
- The Prop: Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points (-127)
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Predictions
As the underdogs with a spread of +3, we recommend going with the Nuggets on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 204.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 227 points. Our pick is to take the over.
The Pick: Nuggets +3 | at Fanduel Sportsbook