College Basketball Betting: No. 3 Purdue Laying Big Points Vs No. 23 Wisconsin

Purdue Boilermakers guard Jaden Ivey shoots a free throw during the second half against the Nicholls State
Image Credit: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Bad news for sports bettors: College football’s bowl season has reached its conclusion, minus next week’s national-title clash of No. 1 Alabama and No. 3 Georgia.

Good news for sports bettors: College basketball’s regular season has made the glorious calendar turn to 2022, indicating the vast majority of games moving forward will come from inside the various conferences.

Monday’s marquee matchup features a pair of nationally ranked Big Ten teams that only shared the same court once last season.

No. 23 Wisconsin at No. 3 Purdue

Wisconsin Badgers guard Chucky Hepburn dribbles during the first half against the Ohio State Buckeyes
Image Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Tipoff Time: 7 p.m. EST
Venue: Mackey Arena (West Lafayette, IN)
TV: Big Ten Network
Wisconsin: 10-2 SU/7-5 ATS
Purdue: 12-1 SU/7-6 ATS

Odds: Side & Total

Sportsbook Spread Total
BetMGM Purdue -12.5 (-110) 139.5
Caesars Purdue -12.5 (-110) 140
DraftKings Purdue -13 (-110) 139
FanDuel Purdue -12.5 (-110) 139
PointsBet USA Purdue -12.5 (-110) 139.5

*Odds updated as of 4 p.m. ET on Monday, Jan. 3.

Betting Trends

Wisconsin

  • The Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven following a straight-up victory
  • Wisconsin is 1-6 ATS in its last seven as an underdog and 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight Monday contests
  • The Over is 13-6 in Wisconsin’s last 19 overall
  • The Under is 39-18-2 in the Badgers’ last 59 games as underdog and 12-4-2 in their last 18 Monday outings

Purdue

  • Purdue is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall (all as a favorite)
  • The Boilermakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine following a game in which they scored at least 100 points
  • The Over is 24-11 in Purdue’s last 36 home games, 27-13 in its last 40 as a favorite, and 23-9 in its last 32 as a home chalk.

The Series

  • The favorite is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings
  • The home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head-to-head encounters

Odds & Ends

Jaden Ivey goes up for a layup during a recent game against Nicholls State
Image Credit: Nikos Frazier-Journal & Courier/USA TODAY Network

— At DraftKings, Purdue currently has the third-best odds to win the NCAA title (+850), trailing only Gonzaga (+600) and Duke (+800). Wisconsin slots 28th on the national championship odds board at +6,500 (tied with Florida State).

— Purdue is 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS against power-conference opponents this season. The three ATS defeats occurred against Iowa (77-70 victory as 15.5-point favorite), at Rutgers (70-68 loss as a 13.5-point chalk), and versus NC State (82-72 overtime win as a 15-point choice).

— Six of Wisconsin’s last seven victories dating to Nov. 23 have been by six points or fewer. The lone blowout came on Dec. 4, when the Badgers topped Marquette 89-76 as a seven-point home favorite.

— Wisky’s two losses came against Providence (63-58 as a five-point home favorite on Nov. 15) and at Ohio State (73-55 as a five-point underdog in the Big Ten road opener on Dec. 11).

— Six of Purdue’s last seven wins have been double-digit routs. The average victory margin during this period was 23.6 points, with the Boilermakers posting four 20-plus-point wins.

— Wisconsin is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games against nationally ranked opponents, going back to January 2021. The combined points in those 12 contests: 128, 128, 139, 119, 150, 142, 143, 139, 126, 135, 136 and 131 (only three went above tonight’s consensus tally of 139.5 points).

— Dating back to the 2019-20 campaign, Purdue is 6-3 SU at home against ranked opponents. The combined totals: 142, 143, 123, 127, 164, 172, 141, 113, and 109 points.

— The Over is 2-2 (1-1 in conference) when the Badgers play on the road or at neutral sites. The totals: 128, 116, 136, and 123 points.

— This season, Wisconsin and its opponents are averaging 133.5 combined points per game, while the Boilermakers (1-1 in Big Ten) and their competition are averaging 153.2 points per outing.

— Player to Watch: Purdue sophomore Jaden Ivey remains a short-list candidate for Big Ten Player of the Year, as he’s averaging 16.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game. Ivey, who could be a top-five pick in this year’s NBA draft, has posted double-digit points in 10 straight outings — highlighted by a 22-point, 10-rebound, six-assist effort against North Carolina on Nov. 20.

Last March, Ivey rolled for 18 points against the Badgers, burying three triples in the Boilermakers’ 73-69 home win as a two-point favorite.

Jay Clemons
Jay Clemons remains the only sports writer on the planet to capture Cynposis Media's national award for Sports Blog Of The Year (beating out NBA.com, MLB.com, PGATour.com, The Players' Tribune in 2015), along with the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's pre-eminent award for Best Football Writer (2008). Through the years, Mr. Clemons has been a key figure with numerous blue-chip sports/media brands, namely the Detroit Lions, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report and now American Affiliate's Props.com. Clemons, a graduate of Michigan State University and Wayne State University, has been an on-camera Web-TV host for Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report and FOX Sports. In 2015, he also became the first-ever sports journalism professor at Kennesaw State University in suburban Atlanta. And for the betting community, covering the last two years of the sports calendar (2019-20 / 2020-21), Clemons enjoyed a rock-solid winning rate of 59.6 percent with point-spread and over/under selections (NFL, college football and college basketball.)

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