San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Jan. 09

Nov 24, 2023; San Jose, California, USA; San Jose Sharks center Tomas Hertl (48) during the first period against the Montreal Canadiens at SAP Center at San Jose
Image Credit: Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

We have your San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the San Jose Sharks hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (20-10-7) are set to host the struggling San Jose Sharks (9-28-3) in a matchup that pits one of the Eastern Conference’s top teams against the Western Conference’s cellar-dweller. With the Sharks on an 11-game losing streak and the Leafs riding a wave of three consecutive wins, this game presents a stark contrast in momentum.

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds Info

Moneyline: San Jose Sharks +330 (PointsBet) / Toronto Maple Leafs -420 (BetRivers)

Puck Line: -2.5 – San Jose Sharks -130 (PointsBet) / Toronto Maple Leafs +110 (PointsBet)

Total: 6.0 – +110 (DraftKings) / -125 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Jan. 09

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Arena – Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN+

San Jose Sharks Betting Trends

  • This season, the San Jose Sharks have hit 16 overs and 24 unders.
  • On the road this season, the San Jose Sharks have hit 9 overs and 11 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the San Jose Sharks have hit 16 overs and 24 unders.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 20 overs and 17 unders.
  • At home this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 12 overs and 6 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 18 overs and 15 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the San Jose Sharks have faced each other three times, with the Maple Leafs winning two of those encounters and the Sharks claiming victory once. The home team has emerged victorious in two of the three games, indicating a slight home-ice advantage. When it comes to betting statistics, the Maple Leafs have covered the spread twice, while the Sharks have done so once. In terms of the over-under totals, bettors who wagered on the under would have been successful in two out of the three games, with only one game going over the set total. Key statistics from these matchups show that the Maple Leafs have been the favorite in each game, as indicated by their lower moneyline odds. The Sharks, despite being the underdog in all three games, managed to win once and cover the spread in one game as well. The total score of the games has been relatively close to the over-under line set by oddsmakers, with a slight tendency towards the under.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on January 6, 2024, where the Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the San Jose Sharks with a final score of 4-1. In this game, the Maple Leafs were the clear favorites with a closing moneyline of -310, and they managed to cover the spread of 1.5 goals. The total score of 5 goals meant that the game finished under the closing over-under of 6.5 goals. The Maple Leafs demonstrated their offensive strength with 33 shots on goal and 12 points accumulated by their players. William Nylander was particularly instrumental in the victory, contributing two goals and an assist. The Sharks, on the other hand, struggled to convert their chances, with only 24 shots on goal and a single point from Mikael Granlund. The goaltending performance was also a differentiator, with the Maple Leafs’ Martin Jones saving 23 out of 24 shots for a save percentage of 0.958, while the Sharks’ Mackenzie Blackwood saved 29 out of 33 shots, resulting in a save percentage of 0.879.

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs are looking to extend their winning streak to four games as they welcome the San Jose Sharks to Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have been finding success with their high-powered offense, led by stars Auston Matthews and William Nylander, who have combined for 84 points this season. Toronto’s recent form has been bolstered by solid goaltending from Martin Jones, who has stopped 81 of 83 shots during the team’s current streak. The Leafs’ fifth-place standing in the Eastern Conference reflects their balanced attack and resilience throughout the season.

Conversely, the San Jose Sharks are in the midst of a dire 11-game losing streak, the longest in the NHL this season. Despite the efforts of center Tomas Hertl and the playmaking of Mikael Granlund, the Sharks have struggled to turn individual performances into team success. San Jose’s defense has been particularly porous, allowing the most goals per game in the league, which does not bode well against a Leafs team that has been firing on all cylinders offensively.

This game is likely to hinge on the Sharks’ ability to contain the Leafs’ top scorers and find some offensive rhythm of their own. Key matchups to watch include the Sharks’ penalty kill against the Leafs’ power play, which has been effective thanks to the sharpshooting of Matthews and the creativity of Nylander. If the Sharks hope to snap their losing streak, they’ll need a standout performance from goaltender Mackenzie Blackwood and a concerted team effort to slow down Toronto’s dynamic offense.

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

The under is the most compelling pick for this matchup, considering the recent trends and statistics. The Toronto Maple Leafs have been on a scoring spree, but they are up against a San Jose Sharks team that has been struggling to find the back of the net. Despite the Leafs’ offensive prowess, the Sharks’ defense will likely be on high alert, aiming to tighten up and prevent a blowout. Additionally, the Leafs’ Martin Jones has been stellar in goal, which could further stifle the Sharks’ scoring chances. The historic head-to-head data also leans towards the under, with two of the last three meetings failing to surpass the total line. Given the Sharks’ current form and the Leafs’ ability to control the game’s pace, it’s reasonable to expect a game that stays under the total line of 6 goals.

Moreover, the most recent encounter between these two teams resulted in a total of 5 goals, falling under the set over-under line. With the Sharks on a lengthy losing streak and the Leafs showing no signs of letting up defensively, the under seems like a prudent choice. The Sharks’ offensive woes, combined with the Leafs’ recent defensive solidity, suggest that this game may not be the high-scoring affair the odds imply. Therefore, the under is the right pick for bettors looking to capitalize on the current dynamics of both teams.

The Pick: Under 6.0 +110 (DraftKings)

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Calle Jarnkrok Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -140 +110 2.1 2.23
John Tavares Shots On Goal 3.5 8/10 -145 +114 4.4 4.52
William Nylander Assists 0.5 8/10 -190 +145 0.9 0.99
Morgan Rielly Assists 0.5 7/10 -135 +105 1.0 1.15
Morgan Rielly Points 0.5 7/10 -175 +135 1.0 1.17