Best Luka Doncic Prop Bets vs. Warriors – Saturday, Dec. 30

Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) reacts during the second quarter against the LA Clippers at American Airlines Center.
Image Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

For each game of the NBA season, we provide the best Luka Doncic prop bets. His next game is Saturday, December 30 against the Golden State Warriors.

Best Luka Doncic Player Props Bets vs. the Golden State Warriors

As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to face off against the Golden State Warriors, all eyes are on Luka Doncic, who has been on a scoring tear lately. Despite being listed as questionable due to a left quadriceps injury, Doncic’s recent performances suggest he could play a pivotal role in this matchup. His ability to score, rebound, and assist has been central to the Mavericks’ strategy, and if he plays, he’ll be the player to watch in this high-stakes game.

Luka Doncic Over 36.5 Points (-125)

Luka Doncic has been in exceptional form, especially in terms of scoring. Over the last ten games, he’s averaged 37.3 points, exceeding the 36.5 points line six times. His scoring prowess has been even more pronounced in the last five games, where he’s averaged 38.8 points, hitting the over 80% of the time. This trend suggests a high likelihood that Doncic will continue to score at an elite level, especially given the high-paced game expected against the Warriors. Additionally, with the Mavericks missing key players like Kyrie Irving, Doncic will likely have more scoring responsibilities, further increasing the chances of him hitting the over on the points prop.

Luka Doncic Over 10.5 Assists (-105)

Doncic’s playmaking abilities have been just as impressive as his scoring. While his season average for assists is slightly below the line at 9.24, his performance in the last ten games shows an uptick, with an average of 10.5 assists, hitting the over three times. The last five games have seen him average 9.8 assists, indicating that he’s hovering right around the line, ready to tip over. Given the Warriors’ defensive style and the potential high-scoring nature of the game, Doncic will have ample opportunities to distribute the ball and rack up assists. His role as the primary ball-handler and playmaker for the Mavericks, especially in Irving’s absence, makes it likely that he will exceed the assists line, making the over a compelling pick.

All Luka Doncic Player Prop Picks for Saturday, Dec 30

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection Our Pick
Luka Doncic Points 36.5 6/10 -125 -105 37.3 38.06 Over
Luka Doncic Rebounds 9.5 3/10 -110 -120 8.3 8.53 Under
Luka Doncic Assists 10.5 3/10 -105 -125 10.5 10.94 Over
Luka Doncic Three Pointers 4.5 4/10 +124 -160 4.1 4.13 Under
Luka Doncic Points, Rebounds & Assists 57.5 4/10 -110 -120 56.1 57.19 Under
Luka Doncic Points & Rebounds 46.5 4/10 -125 -105 45.6 46.47 Under
Luka Doncic Points & Assists 47.5 5/10 -120 -110 47.8 48.87 Over
Luka Doncic Rebounds & Assists 19.5 4/10 -120 -110 18.8 19.27 Under

Luka Doncic Stats for the 2023/24 NBA Season

  • Points Per Game
    • Season: 33.72
    • Away: 32.87
    • vs. Golden State Warriors: nan
  • Rebounds Per Game
    • Season: 8.41
    • Away: 7.87
    • vs. Golden State Warriors: nan
  • Assists Per Game
    • Season: 9.24
    • Away: 8.47
    • vs. Golden State Warriors: nan

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 30
  • Time: 08:30 PM
  • Location: Chase Center – San Francisco, CA