If you’re looking for No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament’s Elite Eight, then just go straight to the NCAA Midwest Region odds board. That’s where you’ll find Kansas, which did what Tournament favorite Gonzaga and fellow top seeds Arizona and Baylor could not: Survive and advance.
The top-seeded Jayhawks will meet upstart No. 10 seed Miami in Sunday’s regional final in Chicago, with the winner heading to New Orleans for the Final Four.
Props.com breaks down this matchup, with insights from multiple oddsmakers on March Madness Midwest Region odds and action. Check back for updates through tipoff Sunday afternoon.
NCAA Midwest Region Odds and Betting Action
Matchup | Time | Spread | Over/Under |
No. 10 Miami vs No. 1 Kansas | 3:20 p.m. ET Sunday | Kansas -5.5 | 145 |
Odds via Caesars Sports and updated as of 12:30p.m. ET on March 27.
No. 10 Miami vs No. 1 Kansas
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas opened as a 6.5-point favorite at Caesars Sports late Friday night, dipped to -6 within a couple of hours, then went to -5.5 midmorning today. Spread ticket count is almost dead even, but Miami is nabbing 69% of money on the spread. The Hurricanes are also seeing the bulk of moneyline play, at 63% of tickets/57% of cash. The total opened at 148 and is now down to 145, with tickets and money 3/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: After about a day’s worth of betting in WynnBet’s NCAA Midwest Regional odds market, Kansas is down to a 5.5-point favorite. The Jayhawks opened -6.5, dipped to -6 this morning, then went to -5.5 in the past hour. Kansas is netting 64% of spread tickets, but 69% of spread cash is on underdog Miami.
And there’s a similar situation on the moneyline, with 72% of bets on the Jayhawks, but 57% of cash on the Hurricanes. Kansas dipped from -280 to -250 on the moneyline, and correspondingly, Miami moved from +240 to +200.
The total is stable at 147.5, with ticket count and money running about 3.5/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 12:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Kansas fended off No. 4 seed Providence 66-61 Friday night but failed to cash as a 7-point chalk. It was the Jayhawks’ second straight ATS setback after a season-best 5-0 spread-covering run. And although Bill Self’s squad moved to 9-1 SU in neutral-site games this season, it’s a middling 5-5 ATS in those 10 contests.
The Jayhawks are the lone No. 1 seed remaining, following the second-round exit of Baylor (East), and the Sweet 16 departures of Gonzaga (West) and Arizona (South).
In the other Midwest Region semifinal, Miami dispatched plucky No. 11 seed Iowa State 70-56 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes (26-10 SU, 21-14-1 ATS) have cashed four in a row and are on a 10-2-1 ATS run in their last 13 outings.
Further, after being favored against the Cyclones, the ‘Canes are back in the underdog role, which has been good for bettors. Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a neutral-site underdog and 5-1 ATS in its last six as a Tournament pup.
In six postseason games this season — three in the Big 12 tourney, three in the NCAA Tournament — Kansas has alternated Overs/Unders. The win over Providence fell well short of the 141 total. The Under is 6-3 in the Jayhawks’ last nine contests.
All three of Miami’s NCAA Tourney wins have come up short of the total, following a 6-1 Over run. Against Iowa State, the Under converted by a couple of buckets (total 131).
Late Friday night, Kansas opened as a 6.5-point chalk in The SuperBook’s NCAA Midwest Region odds market, with a total of 149. The line was stable early on, while the total dipped a point to 148. Check back Saturday for odds and action updates on this Midwest Region final.