Monday night’s NBA betting slate features exciting matchups with plenty of opportunities for standout individual performances.
By analyzing key matchups, trends, and player roles, we’ve identified three plays that present strong value. Here’s a detailed breakdown of why each selection is worth consideration for tonight.
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1. Naz Reid More Than 10.5 Points
Naz Reid is well-positioned to exceed 10.5 points in tonight’s matchup against the Lakers. With odds around -130 for this number on various platforms and some lines already moving to 11.5, this play offers significant value. The Lakers have struggled defensively against Reid’s position, allowing the 5th-most points per game to opposing centers. This vulnerability creates a prime opportunity for Reid to thrive.
Reid’s offensive efficiency has been a highlight of his season, with the big man averaging two or more three-pointers per game while shooting a high percentage from the free-throw line. Playing at home further enhances his chances of surpassing this number, as his minutes and role remain a bit more consistent. Given the favorable matchup and Reid’s scoring reliability, he should comfortably clear 10.5 points tonight.
2. Zach LaVine Less Than 23 Points
Zach LaVine faces a tough test against the Brooklyn Nets’ defense, which has been one of the most effective in the league at containing opposing scorers. So far this season the Nets have allowed the 5th-fewest points to shooting guards.
The odds for LaVine to go under 23 points are set at -125, and many DFS platforms have already adjusted this number down to 22.5. This makes the 23-point number on apps like PrizePicks an excellent value. Additionally, LaVine has struggled to consistently hit this mark against strong defensive teams, which further supports the likelihood of him finishing below the projection. All signs point to this being a sound under-the-radar selection.
3. Dejounte Murray More Than 6 Assists
Dejounte Murray has been a consistent playmaker for the Pelicans this season, averaging 6.5 assists per game while logging around 35 minutes per contest. Tonight’s matchup against the Hawks sets up well for Murray to deliver another strong performance in the assist category. Atlanta ranks 4th worst in the league in assists allowed to opposing guards, creating a favorable environment for Murray to capitalize.
Murray’s ability to create opportunities for his teammates has been a key factor in his success this season. With consistent minutes and his usage rate remaining high, he has a clear path to surpassing the 6-assist projection. The -158 odds for him to push or exceed this number further underscore the value of this play. Expect Murray to control the offense and easily hit more than 6 assists tonight.
Final Thoughts
Here’s a summary of the top plays for Monday night’s NBA slate:
- Naz Reid More Than 10.5 Points – A highly favorable matchup against the Lakers should allow Reid to capitalize on his offensive efficiency.
- Zach LaVine Less Than 23 Points – Brooklyn’s top-tier defense against guards creates a difficult scoring environment for LaVine.
- Dejounte Murray More Than 6 Assists – Murray’s strong playmaking ability and Atlanta’s struggles against guards set the stage for him to exceed this number.
Each of these plays offers a mix of statistical support, favorable matchups, and role consistency, making them excellent choices.
Best of luck, and enjoy Monday night’s NBA action!