Military Bowl: UCF vs. Duke Prediction, Odds & Picks (Wednesday, Dec. 28)

Duke Blue Devils quarterback Riley Leonard (13) throws a pass against the Kansas Jayhawks during the first half of the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
Image Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

It’s the Military Bowl, and UCF is set to face Duke on Wednesday, Dec. 28. The game is scheduled for 2 pm ET while airing on ESPN. Duke enters this game as 3.5-point favorites with the total set at 62.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the UCF vs. Duke prediction for the Military Bowl below.

UCF vs. Duke Odds

  • Spread: Duke -3.5
  • Total: 62.5

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook. Check out our Caesars Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,250 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Dec. 28
  • Time: 2 pm ET
  • Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium – Annapolis, MD
  • TV: ESPN

UCF Betting Trends

  • Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC
  • Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss
  • Over is 4-1 in Knights last 5 games overall
  • Over is 4-1 in Knights last 5 Wednesday games

Duke Betting Trends

  • Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games
  • Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AAC
  • Over is 6-0 in Blue Devils last 6 bowl games
  • Over is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 neutral site games

UCF vs. Duke Predictions

Will UCF quarterback John Rhys Plumlee play in this game? The Washington Times suggests that he will suit up, but if you read that article, there’s no concrete evidence. Plumlee talks about how he’s feeling better every day but makes no statement on whether he will play or not. Keep that in mind when handicapping this contest.

For that reason, the Knights could lean on RB Isaiah Bowser and the ground game a little more than usual. That’s not necessarily good news, as Duke has been solid against the run this season, ranking 22nd in yards per carry allowed and 17th in total run defense.

On the flip side, the Blue Devils could have an easier time establishing their rushing attack. UCF got steamrolled in its last game against Tulane, giving up 255 rushing yards including 199 on 22 carries to Green Wave RB Tyjae Spears. Duke has a balanced offense, but its running game is efficient while ranking 42nd in rushing offense and 33rd in yards per carry.

Overall, the Blue Devils feel like the more complete team at this point in the season, and they should win this game by more than four points.

The Pick: Duke -3.5 | -110 at Caeasrs Sportsbook