The Eagles rebounded from their first loss of the season in Week 10 by winning a white-knuckle comeback last week. Conversely, the Packers were punched in the mouth by the Titans on Thursday Night Football after a statement overtime win against the Cowboys in Week 10. Will the favored Eagles handle their business? Do the Packers have a last gasp? Let’s dig into these Eagles vs. Packers predictions to uncover our best bet.
Eagles vs. Packers Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +6.5 (-105) | +230 | O 46 (-110) |
| @ Eagles | -6.5 (-115) | -275 | U 46 (-110) |
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook as of 4 p.m. ET on Nov. 26. Don’t have an account? Check out our DraftKings Sportsbook Review to find out how to bet $5 to get $150.
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 20
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, PA
- TV: NBC
Eagles vs. Packers Trends
- The Eagles opened as 7.0-point favorites, moved to 6.5-point favorites on Wednesday, and have remained there since.
- The Eagles are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games following an against-the-spread loss.
- Philadelphia is 1-4 against the spread versus a team with a losing record.
- The Packers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games versus a team with a winning record.
- Green Bay is 14-6 against the spread in their last 20 games following a straight-up loss.
- The Packers are 2-6 against the spread in their last eight road games.
Philadelphia Has Stumbled Lately
The NFL season is a grind. There’s no doubt the Eagles are a talented and well-rounded team. However, they have some warts, and they’re working through a rough stretch. Philadelphia lost at home to the Commanders in Week 10 and needed a game-winning touchdown run by Hurts with 1:20 left in last week’s contest in Indianapolis.
Philadelphia beat the brakes off the Steelers and Texans after their Week 7 bye, but they’ve scored just 38 points and allowed 48 in their two most recent contests. According to Pro-Football-Reference, the Eagles had their lowest yardage output in Week 10 and third-lowest mark in Week 11, with 264 and 314, respectively.
According to Football Outsiders, the Eagles are 14th in total DVOA, 12th in total offense DVOA, and 14th in total defense DVOA in their last two games. So, they haven’t been terrible. Yet, they’ve been average to slightly above.
Green Bay Has an Intriguing Matchup Advantage
The Packers are 4-7. However, they’ve shown signs of life lately, beating the Cowboys in overtime and avoiding any turnovers in their loss against the Titans last week.
Still, the Packers had an underwhelming 17 points against the Titans last week. The matchup was a nightmare for them, though. Tennessee is first in rush defense DVOA, and the Packers have been at their best offensively this year when running the ball successfully.
So, they’ve understandably embraced a run-first offense. According to numberFire, Green Bay has attempted 24 passes and 42 rushes by non-quarterbacks in neutral game scripts since Week 10. Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s opponents have attacked them on the ground without their massive run-stuffing rookie Jordan Davis in the middle of their defensive line. Since Week 9, Philly’s opponents have attempted 71 passes and 90 rushes by non-quarterbacks in neutral game scripts. The Eagles are 25th in rush defense DVOA since Week 9. So, Green Bay is likely to continue the trend of attacking the Eagles on the ground.
Eagles vs. Packers Predictions
The Eagles are justifiably favored. They’ll probably win at home. However, the Packers are game underdogs and can push them to their limit.
Green Bay is 12th in total DVOA, sixth in offense DVOA, and 15th in defense DVOA since Week 10. Thus, they’ve played nearly the same level as the Eagles in the previous two weeks. Philadelphia might also need another week to adjust to the absence of stud tight end Dallas Goedert. It’s probably not a coincidence the Eagles scored their fewest points in a game (17) this year in their first contest since he was injured. As a result, gamblers are encouraged to look past the records for these two teams and take the points with the Packers.
Pick: Packers +6.5 Points | -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook