Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Wednesday, Mar. 27

Oct 14, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Bruins right wing David Pastrnak (88) skates during a penalty shot against the Nashville Predators during the second period at the TD Garden.
Image Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Boston Bruins hit the road to face the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (39-25-7) are set to host the Atlantic Division-leading Boston Bruins (42-16-15) in a high-stakes matchup at Amalie Arena. With both teams looking to solidify their playoff positioning, this game could be a preview of a potential postseason battle.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Odds Info

Moneyline: Boston Bruins +102 (BetRivers) / Tampa Bay Lightning -115 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Boston Bruins -245 (BetRivers) / Tampa Bay Lightning +220 (Bet365)

Total: 5.5 – +115 (PointsBet) / -134 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Mar. 27

Time: 06:30 PM

Location: Amalie Arena – Tampa, FL


Boston Bruins Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Boston Bruins have 19 wins and 16 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Boston Bruins have 6 wins and 5 losses.
  • This season, the Boston Bruins have hit 37 overs and 36 unders.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 21 wins and 13 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 25 wins and 16 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 37 overs and 34 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the 2023-2024 NHL season, the Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins have faced off three times, with Tampa Bay emerging victorious in two of those encounters. The first meeting on November 20, 2023, saw the Lightning win at home with a score of 5-4, while the Bruins took the second game on January 6, 2024, with a decisive 7-3 victory at home. The most recent game on February 13, 2024, ended in a 3-2 win for Tampa Bay, also on Boston’s ice. In terms of betting statistics, Tampa Bay has covered the spread twice, while Boston has done so once. The over/under betting results have seen the total score go over the predicted line twice and under once. Key statistics from these games include the Lightning’s strong penalty kill, particularly in the latest game where they defended all six power play opportunities by the Bruins. Both teams have shown a propensity for blocking shots, with the Lightning recording 19 blocks in the most recent game and the Bruins 10. The goaltending has been solid on both sides, with Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy posting a save percentage of 0.947 and Boston’s Linus Ullmark with a 0.92 in their last matchup.

The most recent game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins on February 13, 2024, ended in a 3-2 victory for Tampa Bay after a shootout, with Brayden Point scoring the decisive goal. The game was tightly contested, with Erik Cernak and Nikita Kucherov scoring for the Lightning and Charlie McAvoy and James van Riemsdyk responding for the Bruins. The Lightning’s defense was particularly effective, successfully killing all six of Boston’s power play chances. Both goaltenders performed admirably, with Vasilevskiy making 36 saves on 38 shots and Ullmark stopping 23 out of 25 shots. The game’s intensity was reflected in the physical play, with Tampa Bay registering 36 hits and Boston 32. Faceoffs were nearly even, with Boston winning 28 and Tampa Bay 27. Despite the close scoreline, the Lightning managed to secure the win, demonstrating resilience and strong special teams play.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning are entering this game with a solid home record and a recent uptick in performance, winning four of their last five games. The Lightning’s success has been largely due to the stellar play of right winger Nikita Kucherov, who leads the team with 41 goals and 82 assists. Tampa Bay’s offense has been potent, ranking among the top in the league, and their power play has been particularly deadly. However, they will be tested against a Bruins team that boasts one of the best defensive units in the NHL, anchored by goaltender Linus Ullmark and a strong penalty-killing squad.

The Boston Bruins, on the other hand, have been consistent throughout the season and sit comfortably atop their division. Right winger David Pastrnak has been a force to be reckoned with, leading the Bruins with 45 goals and 56 assists. The Bruins’ balanced attack and solid defensive play have made them one of the most formidable teams in the league. However, they will need to be on top of their game to overcome a Lightning team that has been particularly strong at home, with a 21-9-4 record at Amalie Arena.

This game is not just about the star players, as both teams have depth that can make a difference. The matchup to watch will be between the Lightning’s power play unit and the Bruins’ penalty kill, which could turn the tide of the game. Additionally, the performance of the goaltenders will be critical, as both Andrei Vasilevskiy and Linus Ullmark have the ability to steal games for their teams. With the playoffs on the horizon, this game will be a true test of each team’s mettle and could very well be a deciding factor in playoff seeding.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Pick

The Tampa Bay Lightning have shown a strong ability to capitalize on their home ice advantage, boasting a 21-9-4 record at Amalie Arena. With the team winning four of their last five games and the offensive prowess of Nikita Kucherov, who has amassed an impressive 123 points this season, the Lightning’s scoring depth and power play efficiency are likely to challenge the Bruins’ defense. Additionally, Tampa Bay’s recent head-to-head record against Boston, winning two out of three games this season, including a victory on Boston’s ice, suggests they have the edge in this matchup. The Lightning’s ability to kill penalties was particularly notable in their last game against the Bruins, successfully neutralizing all six power play opportunities, which could be a key factor in this upcoming game.

While the Boston Bruins are a formidable opponent with a strong defensive core and the offensive talents of David Pastrnak, the Lightning’s recent form and historical performance this season indicate a favorable outcome for the home team. The Bruins have been less dominant on the road compared to their home record, and the Lightning’s special teams play, combined with Vasilevskiy’s solid goaltending, gives them the upper hand. Considering these factors, the Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline bet is the more compelling choice for this high-stakes matchup.

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -115. (FanDuel)

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Boston Bruins

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Jake DeBrusk Points 0.5 7/10 -105 -125 1.0 0.99
Pavel Zacha Points 0.5 8/10 -110 -120 1.1 1.10
Pavel Zacha Assists 0.5 7/10 +170 -220 0.7 0.80

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Anthony Duclair Points 0.5 9/10 -120 -110 1.4 1.2
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 9/10 -190 +145 1.7 1.2
Steven Stamkos Points 0.5 8/10 -215 +165 1.4 1.2