Heat vs. Nuggets Predictions, Odds & Picks – NBA Finals Game 4

Denver Nuggets guard Christian Braun (0) gestures after a play against the Miami Heat during the third quarter in game three of the 2023 NBA Finals at Kaseya Center.
Image Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

After witnessing a legendary performance by Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, it’s hard not to jump on the Nuggets bandwagon. The two stars combined for an incredible 66 points, 31 rebounds, and 20 assists, making them the first teammates in NBA history to record 30-point triple-doubles in the same game.

With Denver leading the series 2-1, the Nuggets are favored for Game 4 on Friday, June 9 in Miami. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET while airing on ABC.

Let’s go ahead and run through our Heat vs. Nuggets predictions, odds, and picks for Game 4 below.

Heat vs. Nuggets Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -3.5
  • Total: 210.5

Odds via Bet365. If you are new to Bet365, click our exclusive promo link below to Bet $1 to Get $200 in bonus bets, regardless if you win or lose.

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, June 9
  • Time: 8:30 pm ET
  • Location: Kaseya Center – Miami, FL
  • TV: ABC

Our top NBA props. Everyday. Matt LaMarca runs through his Best NBA Player Props Today for Game 4 of the NBA Finals.

Heat Betting Trends

  • Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami.

Live in a non-sports betting state? Check out these sportsbook alternatives in our complete guide: Can I Bet On Sports In A Non-Legal State?

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

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Heat vs. Nuggets Predictions

The Nuggets are 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games, including that jaw-dropping 109-94 win in Game 3. Their defense was on point, holding the Miami Heat to a mere 37% shooting from the field.

The Heat, known for their boom-or-bust style when it comes to shooting the deep ball, struggled to find their rhythm against Denver’s staunch defense. With the Nuggets’ defensive prowess along with Jokic and Murray firing on all cylinders, it’s hard to see the Heat bouncing back in Game 4.

Nikola Jokic has been a force to be reckoned with during this series, averaging 32 points, 21 rebounds, and 10 assists per game. His performance in Game 3 was nothing short of historic, as he became the first player in NBA Finals history to post a 30-20-10 stat line. Add Jamal Murray’s game-high 34 points in Game 3 to the mix, and you have a duo that’s nearly unstoppable.

When both of these stars are on top of their game, Denver is a force to be reckoned with. And even if only one of them comes through, the Nuggets still have a solid chance of winning and covering the spread. They’re that good.

Heat vs. Nuggets Picks

It’s not just Jokic and Murray who have been stepping up for the Nuggets. Aaron Gordon contributed a solid all-around game in Game 3, with 11 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists. Additionally, rookie reserve Christian Braun made a significant impact, scoring 15 points on dunks and layups, capitalizing on the defensive attention focused on Jokic and Murray.

With these role players stepping up when needed, the Nuggets have a well-rounded team capable of taking two straight on the road in Miami.

Denver’s recent road game success, combined with the historic performances of Jokic and Murray, make the Nuggets -3.5 an enticing bet for Game 4 of the NBA Finals. The Nuggets’ momentum, coupled with the Heat’s struggles, make this bet an attractive option for those looking to ride the wave of Denver’s dominance.

We have been correct in our Heat vs. Nuggets predictions against the spread in every game so far this series (knock on wood). Let’s look to keep it going with the Nuggets -3.5 on Friday. 

The Pick: Nuggets -3.5 | Bet $1, Get $200 (win or lose) at Bet365