The Vikings got destroyed last week, and another challenging matchup is on the docket this week. As a result, a prop involving their quarterback is attractive. A couple of receiving props from the Patriots are also enticing. Their balanced attack doesn’t leave much up for grabs in the passing attack, but one receiver has had a steady presence this year. Meanwhile, a high-priced tight end might struggle to make waves. Let’s dive into the Vikings vs. Patriots player props below.
Vikings vs. Patriots Player Props: TNF Week 12
For a full list of Vikings vs. Patriots player props and odds, check out our dedicated matchup page.
Kirk Cousins Over 0.5 Interceptions (+100)
Kirk Cousins has tossed eight interceptions this year. He’s spread his picks out across five contests. Thus, Cousins has thrown an interception in half of his games this year.
The spread of his interceptions might suggest this is a coin flip. However, New England’s ability to generate pressure is noteworthy. According to Pro-Football-Reference, the Patriots are second in pressure rate (29.8%). They’re directly behind the Cowboys. Remarkably, Dallas didn’t intercept any of his passes last week. However, Cousins threw interceptions against the Eagles and one against the Commanders, two more teams within the top 10 in pressure rate.
Cousins’ advanced stats are also encouraging for his odds of tossing a pick this week. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Cousins is tied for the seventh-most turnover-worthy plays (eight) under pressure this year. Conversely, the Patriots have done a stellar of forcing interceptions, picking off 11 passes in 10 games. Thus, I’ll gladly bet on Cousins throwing an interception at even money.
Where to bet: Kirk Cousins Over 0.5 Interceptions | +100 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jakobi Meyers Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Jakobi Meyers is the lone constant in New England’s passing game. They’ve rotated the other pass-catchers behind him, but Meyers is a mainstay. He’s also been the apple of Mac Jones’ eye. According to numberFire, in five games played with Jones starting and finishing the contest, Meyers had a 27.4% Target Share, 31 receptions, 304 receiving yards, and 358 Air Yards.
Meyers had 55, 95, 60, 42, and 52 receiving yards in the five-game sample, producing an average of 60.8 and a median of 55 receiving yards. The matchup is also outstanding.
Slot wideouts have shredded Minnesota. Per PFF, Minnesota’s slot cornerback, Chandon Sullivan, has allowed the most receiving yards (513) in slot coverage this year. That’s excellent for Meyers since he’s primarily a slot wideout. According to PFF, he’s aligned in the slot on 70.5% of his passing snaps in New England’s last three games. Finally, the wideout’s 103 routes in that three-game stretch were 26 more than the second-highest total on the team. As a result, I’m enamored with Meyers’ over for 51.5 receiving yards.
Where to bet: Jakobi Meyers Over 51.5 Receiving Yards | -108 at Caesars Sportsbook
Hunter Henry Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The wideouts haven’t been the only pass-catching players rotating for the Patriots. Hunter Henry has run 71 routes in their last three games, and Jonnu Smith has run 47. Yet, Smith has been the more attractive option for Jones. Henry had only six targets, six receptions, and 92 receiving yards. On the other hand, Smith had 11 targets, 10 receptions, and 71 receiving yards.
The Patriots have also run a balanced offense in Jones’ six complete starts. They’ve attempted 135 passes and 106 rushes by non-quarterbacks in neutral game scripts in those games. Henry had 20, 0, 8, 22, 50, and 20 receiving yards in the six-game sample, putting him under this week’s yardage prop five times in six contests. He had a per-game average of 20 receiving yards and a median outcome of 20 receiving yards in the six games.
Finally, the matchup is challenging for Henry. According to Football Outsiders, tight ends have averaged the 14th-fewest yards per game (48.5) against the Vikings this year. Toss in that Henry splits work with Smith, and the under is an exciting bet.
Where to bet: Hunter Henry Under 22.5 Receiving Yards | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Justin Jefferson Over 0.5 Receiving Yards
You read that correctly. Prizepicks is running a bonus prop on Justin Jefferson, where you can select over/under 0.5 receptions. The maximum you can wager on this prop is $20.
If you don’t have a Prizepicks account, you can get up to a $100 deposit match by using promo code PROPS and clicking the link below. In other words, if you deposit $10, you get $10 free. A $20 deposit gets you $20 free…all the way up to $100.
Combine These Props At PrizePicks (+900)
Even better, you can combine Jefferson’s promo prop with the other three Vikings vs. Patriots player props listed in this article to get +900 odds. Essentially, you can turn $20 into $200 if these picks hit. Check it out below.
