The Dallas Mavericks need an all-out effort to essentially keep their season alive Sunday night, while the Golden State Warriors should feel somewhat comfortable with a 2-0 lead in the Western Conference finals.
That basic handicap informs a breakdown of Warriors vs Mavericks props for Game 3. Does Luka Doncic have any more tricks up his sleeve? Can Dallas battle on the boards? Will Golden State take its foot off the gas?
Props.com looks at four player-specific Warriors vs Mavericks props for Sunday’s Game 3 of the Western Conference finals.
Odds via DraftKings as of 11:15 a.m. ET on May 22.
- Huge Selection of Sports
- 20+ States
- Top-Rated App
Warriors vs Mavericks Player Props
Dallas Mavericks: PG Luka Doncic
The prop: 8.5 assists
The odds: Over +105/Under -140
Doncic filled up the stat sheet in Game 2 with 42 points, five rebounds and eight assists, but it wasn’t enough as Dallas blew a 19-point first-half lead and lost 126-117.
When the Mavericks were down 2-0 against top-seeded Phoenix in the last round, Dallas came home and evened the series. In those two games, Doncic’s scoring dropped to 26 points in each game, but he dished out nine and 11 assists, respectively.
Those are the only games during this postseason in which Doncic has gone Over 8.5 assists, but that’s the situation to target here, at a plus-price.
Golden State Warriors: PG Stephen Curry
The prop: 26.5 points
The odds: Over -125/Under +105
The Mavericks’ defense has focused on Curry through the first two games, but he still managed to break loose for 32 points in Game 2 by hitting 6 of 10 attempts from 3-point land. Dallas held Curry to 21 in a slower-paced Game 1, and that’s exactly the style the Mavericks will want to impose in Game 3.
Also, maybe Curry won’t hit 60 percent of his 3-pointers this time.
Take Curry Under 26.5 points.
Dallas Mavericks: PF Dorian Finney-Smith
The prop: 5.5 rebounds
The odds: Over +100/Under -130
Golden State killed Dallas on the glass in the first two games, outrebounding the Mavericks 51-35 in Game 1 and 43-30 in Game 2. But it wasn’t for a lack of effort from Finney-Smith.
The Mavericks’ power forward averaged only 4.7 rebounds per game in the regular season, but he pulled down seven and eight, respectively, in the first two games against the Warriors. With center Dwight Powell getting fewer minutes because of Golden State’s style, Finney-Smith is the Mavericks’ best hope to keep the Warriors honest on the boards.
Look for him to beat his season average once again and snag Over 5.5 rebounds.
Golden State Warriors: SF Andrew Wiggins
The prop: 1.5 made 3-pointers
The odds: Over -140/Under +110
Wiggins has hit three 3-pointers in each of the past three games, but all three were at home. On the road in the playoffs, the former No. 1 overall draft pick has made more than one 3-pointer only once in five tries against Denver and Memphis.
It’s a simple handicap and not a huge sample size. But let’s bet on the home-road split continuing in Game 3 and take Wiggins Under 1.5 made 3-pointers.
