For your Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Mavericks hit the road to face the Thunder on Thursday, Mar 14 at 10:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 236, with the Thunder favored by 10.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Thunder vs. Mavericks player props and predictions.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds
- Spread: Thunder -10.5
- Total 236
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Mar 14
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
- TV: TNT
Mavericks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 126 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
Thunder Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
Can Dallas Pull Off A Win at Paycom Center?
Today, the Mavericks are looking to extend their winning streak to five games as they take on the Thunder. In their last game, the Mavs defeated the Warriors by a score of 109-99. They were favored by 8.5 points in that game and covered the spread.
Dallas has an overall record of 38-28 this season, which has them in 8th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 22-18 compared to 16-10 in non-conference games.
As the underdog, the Mavericks have a record of 9-17 this season. They have also gone 11-15 ATS as the underdog and have lost their last two games straight up as the underdog. Today, they are getting 10.5 points.
This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 33-33, and their last two games have gone under the betting line. On average, their games have finished with a combined scoring total of 236.5 points.
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Warriors by a score of 109-99. The O/U line for that game was 234 points, and the Mavericks were favored by 8.5 points.
So far this season, the Mavericks have been one of the top scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 119 points per game (6th). On the road, they are scoring 118.1 points per game (6th).
In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game. When it comes to three-point shooting, Dallas is 3rd in made threes at 14.8 per game. Overall, they are 12th in three-point shooting percentage (37%).
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Mavericks are 10th in attempts at 23 per game. In terms of assists, they are 22nd in the league with 25.5 per game.
At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 22nd in the NBA, permitting 117.5 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Mavericks are causing 11.9 turnovers per game, ranking 6th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 22nd in rejections, averaging 4.8 blocked shots each game.
Will Oklahoma City Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?
In Thunder games this season, the average over/under line is 233.7, which is lower than today’s line of 236. The team’s O/U record for the season is 34-30-1, and their last three games have all gone under the total.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 40-25, including a 22-11 record at home. On the road, they are 18-14 vs. the spread, and they have failed to cover in their last two road games.
Coming into today’s game, the Thunder have a scoring differential of +11.5 points per game at home. On the road, their scoring differential is +3.7 points per game.
In the Western Conference, the Thunder are currently in 2nd place with a record of 45-20. In non-conference games, they are 17-5 compared to 28-15 against Western Conference opponents.
Oklahoma City’s last game was a 121-111 loss to the Pacers. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game, giving them an ATS loss. The O/U line for that game was 240.5.
When playing at home, the Thunder have been one of the top-scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 122.7 points per game (4th). Overall, they are 3rd in the league in scoring at 120.7 points per game.
Oklahoma City’s offense has been efficient from three-point range, leading the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 39%. In terms of pace, the Thunder are 12th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.
So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.2% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 12th in the league with an average of 26.9 per game.
Coming into the game, the Thunder defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 44.6% of their games. Currently, they are 13th in the NBA at 113.0 points per game allowed. On two point field goal attempts, the Thunder’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.6% and allowing 36.7% from beyond the arc.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 33.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -125 while the under is at -102. With his prop line at 33.5, our model indicates that taking the over is the way to go as we project him to end up with 34. We foresee him having a field goal percentage of 47.8% and connecting on four threes.
- The Prop: Luka Doncic Over 33.5 Points (-125)
Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +10.5, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 236 and our model has the Mavericks and Thunder finishing with a combined 235 points. Our pick is to take the under.
The Pick: Mavericks +10.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook