The Pelicans and Miami Heat will matchup on Friday, Feb 23. Tip-off for the game is 8:00 ET and will be shown on BSNO. New Orleans is favored by 3.5 points in this game, and the total is 220.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Pelicans vs. Heat predictions.
Pelicans vs. Heat Odds
- Spread: Pelicans -3.5
- Total 220.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Feb 23
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans LA
- TV: BSNO
Heat Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
- Across the Heat last five road games, the team averaged 107 points per game while allowing 106. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-2-1, while going 3-2 straight-up.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
Pelicans Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Pelicans have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous home games, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 111 points per game.
- Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Pelicans have a strong record of 3-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.
Do the Heat Stand a Chance in New Orleans?
Miami has won their last two games as the underdog and has an ATS record of 8-15 as the underdog this season. On the road, their ATS record as the underdog is 11-12.
For the season, the Heat are 8-15 as the underdog and have an ATS record of 11-12 on the road. Today, they are getting 3.5 points as the underdog.
The Heat’s O/U record for the season is 21-34, and their games have averaged 221 points per game. In their last four games, the under has hit, and today’s O/U line is 220.5.
In their last game, the Heat beat the 76ers by a score of 109-104. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 226.
Miami is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 30-25. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 22-16 and 11-2 against teams in their division. On the road, the Heat are 15-12 compared to 15-13 at home.
This season, the Heat have struggled to score on the road, averaging just 108 points per game compared to 113.1 at home. Overall, Miami is 27th in the league in scoring at 110.6 points per game.
When it comes to pace, the Heat are 28th in the NBA at 96.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 24th at 46%.
From beyond the arc, the Heat are 10th in the league in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. However, they are just 27th in two-point shooting percentage at 52%.
Coming into today’s game, the Heat’s defense is giving up an average of 110.4 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.6% and 36.6% from three-point territory.
Is New Orleans Ready for a Home Win?
The Pelicans will look to extend their winning streak to five games today as they host the Heat. In the Western Conference, the Pelicans are currently 5th with a record of 34-22.
New Orleans covered the spread in their last game, winning by a score of 127-105 as 6.5-point favorites. This improved their ATS record to 31-25 for the season.
At home, the Pelicans have an average scoring margin of +6.5 points per game. This year, they are 16-11 ATS at home. In their last three home games, they have gone 3-0 straight-up and 2-1 ATS.
On the season, the Pelicans have been favored in 32 of their 56 games and have a record of 21-11 in those games. As the favorite, they have gone 16-16 ATS, with an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game.
In their last game against the Rockets, the Pelicans won by a score of 127-105. The O/U line for that game was 227 points. This improved the Pelicans’ O/U record for the season to 27-29, with the over hitting in their last two games.
At home this season, the Pelicans are averaging 118.0 points per game, which is 12th in the league. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 116.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, New Orleans is 9th in the NBA at 48%.
So far, the Pelicans have outscored the NBA scoring average in 53.6% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 19th in the league. In terms of assists, they are 11th with an average of 27.2 per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pelicans are 9th in three-point percentage at 37%. However, they are just 23rd in three-point attempts per game. In terms of free throws, they are 11th in makes and 7th in attempts.
This season, the Pelicans defense has been impressive, holding the 8th position in the league while permitting an average of 112.1 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pelicans are forcing 12.6 per game, which is 13th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 20th in blocked shots at 4.8 per game.
Pelicans vs. Heat Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Jimmy Butler and his points prop of 21.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -119 while the under is at -115. Our model predicts that Jimmy Butler will finish the game going 7/15 from the field and scoring 23 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -119.
- The Prop: Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 Points (-119)
Pelicans vs. Heat Predictions
As the underdogs with a spread of +3.5, we recommend going with the Heat on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 220.5 and our model has the Heat and Pelicans finishing with a combined 236 points. Our pick is to take the over.
The Pick: Heat +3.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook