Stars vs. Senators Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Feb. 22

Roope Hintz of the Dallas Stars.
Image Credit: Glenn James/NHLI via Getty Images

We have your Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Stars hit the road to face the Ottawa Senators.

The Dallas Stars (34-15-8) are set to face off against the Ottawa Senators (23-27-3) in a clash of Western and Eastern conference teams. With the Stars looking to break a three-game losing streak and the Senators aiming to improve their home record, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle on the ice.

Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators Odds Info

Moneyline: Dallas Stars -152 (FanDuel) / Ottawa Senators +130 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Dallas Stars +165 (BetRivers) / Ottawa Senators -175 (PointsBet)

Total: 6.5 – +120 (PointsBet) / -136 (BetPARX)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Feb. 22

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Canadian Tire Centre – Ottawa, ON

TV: ESPN+

Dallas Stars Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Dallas Stars have 17 wins and 12 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Dallas Stars have 32 wins and 17 losses.
  • This season, the Dallas Stars have hit 36 overs and 21 unders.

Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Ottawa Senators have 15 wins and 15 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Ottawa Senators have 10 wins and 20 losses.
  • This season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 31 overs and 22 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Dallas Stars and Ottawa Senators have faced off three times, with the Stars emerging victorious in two of those encounters while the Senators claimed one win. These matchups have consistently favored the home team, with all three games won by the side hosting the contest. When it comes to betting, the Senators have proven to be the more reliable pick against the spread, covering it in all three games. The over/under betting has seen the total score go over the set line twice and under once. In terms of game statistics, the Stars and Senators have shown a competitive edge in their meetings. The Stars have averaged 29 shots on goal across the three games, while the Senators have averaged 30.67 shots on goal. Both teams have been relatively disciplined, with each team averaging 3 penalties per game. The faceoff circle has seen a fairly even split, with the Senators winning 50.67% of faceoffs on average, compared to the Stars’ 49.33%.

The most recent game between the Dallas Stars and Ottawa Senators took place on December 15, 2023, with the Stars narrowly defeating the Senators with a final score of 5-4. The Senators had a strong showing in the first period, but the Stars managed to edge them out by the game’s end. The Senators outshot the Stars 29 to 24, but the Stars won the faceoff battle, claiming 60% of the draws. Both teams had three power play opportunities, with the Stars capitalizing on one. The Senators’ Anton Forsberg faced 24 shots and made 19 saves, ending the game with a save percentage of 0.792. On the other side, the Stars’ goaltending duo of Jake Oettinger and Scott Wedgewood combined for a save percentage of 0.862, facing 29 shots and making 25 saves. The game’s outcome contributed to the Senators’ season win percentage of 44% and the Stars’ higher win percentage of 60.7143%.

Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators Predictions

The Dallas Stars, currently second in the Western Conference, are hitting the road with hopes of snapping their recent skid and maintaining their strong season record. The Stars boast a potent offense led by Jason Robertson, who has tallied an impressive 56 points this season, and Roope Hintz, the team’s top goal scorer. Despite their recent losses, the Stars have shown resilience and will look to their offensive firepower and solid defensive play, ranking among the top teams in the league, to overcome the Senators.

Ottawa, sitting at the bottom of the Atlantic Division, has had a season of ups and downs but has shown they can be competitive, especially on home ice at the Canadian Tire Centre. The Senators are led by Tim Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk, who have been key contributors on offense. The Senators will need to leverage their home-ice advantage and look to their top players to make an impact against the formidable Stars. With both teams averaging around three penalties per game, discipline could play a crucial role in the outcome of this matchup.

This game will also feature a goaltending duel that could be the deciding factor. The Stars’ Jake Oettinger is expected to start and will need to bounce back after a tough stretch, while the Senators may rely on the goaltending of Anton Forsberg to keep them in the game. As both teams vie for a victory, key player matchups, particularly in the faceoff circle and on special teams, will be critical in determining who comes out on top in this inter-conference showdown.

Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators Pick

The Dallas Stars enter this matchup with a strong overall record and a notable offensive threat, making them the favorable pick despite their recent losing streak. The Stars’ ability to average 29 shots on goal across their last three games against the Senators demonstrates their offensive capabilities, and with players like Jason Robertson and Roope Hintz leading the charge, they have the firepower to break through Ottawa’s defenses. Additionally, the Stars’ solid defensive play, which ranks them among the top teams in the league, provides a foundation for success on the road. While the Senators have been reliable against the spread in past meetings, the Stars’ need to maintain their lead in the Central Division and their superior win percentage suggests they will be highly motivated to secure a victory.

Historically, home ice has been an advantage in this matchup, but the Stars’ urgency to end their losing streak and the Senators’ position at the bottom of their division indicate a potential shift in this trend. The Stars’ goaltending duo of Jake Oettinger and Scott Wedgewood has combined for a higher save percentage in the most recent game against the Senators, which could be a critical factor in a tightly contested game. Considering the Stars’ overall performance this season and their ability to bounce back after tough games, the Dallas Stars moneyline bet is the more compelling choice for this NHL showdown.

The Pick: Dallas Stars -152 (FanDuel)

Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Dallas Stars

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Miro Heiskanen Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 +105 -135 3.3 3.28
Wyatt Johnston Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -120 -110 3.4 3.48
Mason Marchment Points 0.5 8/10 +105 -135 1.2 1.20
Matt Duchene Points 0.5 8/10 -135 +105 1.4 1.49
Mason Marchment Assists 0.5 7/10 +190 -250 0.9 0.92
Miro Heiskanen Points 0.5 7/10 -115 -115 0.8 0.84

Ottawa Senators

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Claude Giroux Points 0.5 8/10 -166 +130 1.0 0.93
Brady Tkachuk Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 -130 +100 4.4 4.34
Shane Pinto Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 +120 -150 3.3 3.25
Vladimir Tarasenko Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -180 +140 2.0 1.93
Claude Giroux Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -105 -125 3.1 3.06