Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Jan. 11

Nov 10, 2023; Buffalo, New York, USA; Buffalo Sabres right wing Tage Thompson (72) looks for the puck during the second period against the Minnesota Wild at KeyBank Center.
Image Credit: Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Ottawa Senators hit the road to face the Buffalo Sabres.

The Buffalo Sabres (17-20-4) are set to host the Ottawa Senators (14-22) in a clash of Eastern Conference teams. With both squads looking to climb out of the bottom of the standings, this matchup could serve as a catalyst for a second-half resurgence.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Odds Info

Moneyline: Ottawa Senators +105 (FanDuel) / Buffalo Sabres -126 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Ottawa Senators -220 (BetRivers) / Buffalo Sabres +175 (BetRivers)

Total: 7.0 – -124 (BetRivers) / +102 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Jan. 11

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: KeyBank Center – Buffalo, NY

TV: ESPN+

Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

  • This season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 22 overs and 14 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 9 overs and 7 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 12 overs and 9 unders.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

  • This season, the Buffalo Sabres have hit 18 overs and 23 unders.
  • At home this season, the Buffalo Sabres have hit 7 overs and 12 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Buffalo Sabres have hit 5 overs and 9 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Ottawa Senators and the Buffalo Sabres have faced off six times, with each team securing three victories apiece. These matchups have taken place between October 13, 2022, and December 31, 2023. The home team has demonstrated a significant advantage, winning five out of the six games, while the visiting team has only managed to claim victory once. When it comes to betting statistics, the Senators have covered the spread in four of these encounters, whereas the Sabres have done so in two instances. In terms of the over-under bets, the under has been the prevailing outcome, hitting five times, with the over only occurring once. Other notable statistics from these games include the Senators’ strong goaltending performance, particularly by Anton Forsberg, who has consistently posted high save percentages. The Sabres have shown a tendency to take more shots on goal but have struggled to convert these opportunities into points, as reflected in their lower win percentage compared to the Senators.

The most recent game between the Ottawa Senators and the Buffalo Sabres took place on December 31, 2023, with the Senators emerging victorious with a decisive 5-1 win at home. The Senators were the favorites going into the game, as indicated by their -162 moneyline compared to the Sabres’ +132. Ottawa’s victory also meant they covered the spread of -1.5. The game’s total score was 6, resulting in the under hitting once again, against a closing over-under of 6.5. Key individual performances included Jakob Chychrun, who opened the scoring for the Senators, and goaltender Anton Forsberg, who saved 45 of 46 shots, contributing to his team’s strong defensive showing. The Senators capitalized on their power play opportunities, converting 100% of their chances, while the Sabres failed to score on their power play despite a high number of shots on goal.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Predictions

The Buffalo Sabres and Ottawa Senators are gearing up for a showdown at KeyBank Center, with both teams eager to improve their standing in the Eastern Conference. The Sabres, despite their struggles, have shown flashes of potential, led by Jeff Skinner and Casey Mittelstadt, who have been key contributors on offense. The Senators, on a four-game losing streak, are looking to turn things around, with Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stutzle spearheading their attack. Both teams have had their defensive woes, with the Sabres and Senators ranking near the bottom of the league in goals against, which could lead to a high-scoring affair.

Buffalo’s recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses, but they’ll be looking to capitalize on their home-ice advantage, where they’ve historically performed better this season. Ottawa’s road record has been less than stellar, and they’ll need to shore up their defense to contain the Sabres’ offensive threats. The Senators’ power play has been a bright spot, and they’ll likely rely on it to challenge the Sabres’ penalty kill. The matchup between Skinner, if healthy, and Senators’ goaltender Anton Forsberg could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.

Both teams have players capable of turning a game on its head, and it will be interesting to see which stars step up. The Senators’ Stutzle has been on a point-per-game pace, and his playmaking ability will be crucial against the Sabres’ defense. On the other side, Mittelstadt’s vision and passing could exploit the Senators’ defensive gaps. With both teams desperate for wins to climb out of the bottom of the standings, expect an intense battle with plenty of end-to-end action and critical individual performances that could tip the scales.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Pick

The stage is set for a high-scoring encounter between the Buffalo Sabres and the Ottawa Senators, with both teams displaying a tendency to engage in offensively charged games. The Sabres’ offensive prowess, led by Jeff Skinner and Casey Mittelstadt, has been evident throughout the season, and despite Skinner’s potential absence, the team has depth in scoring. The Senators, with Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stutzle at the helm, have also shown they can put up numbers, especially with their effective power play. Considering the defensive challenges both teams have faced, with the Sabres and Senators ranking near the bottom in goals against, the over on a total line of 7.0 seems like a promising bet. The recent trends support this pick, as the Senators have hit the over in 22 of their games this season, and the Sabres have been involved in high-scoring affairs at home.

While the historic head-to-head data suggests a tendency towards the under, the current dynamics of both teams indicate a potential shift in this pattern. The Senators’ recent games have seen them involved in contests with a total score exceeding the set line, and the Sabres’ mix of offensive talent and defensive vulnerabilities could contribute to a similar outcome. Furthermore, the Senators’ road struggles and the Sabres’ need to capitalize on home-ice advantage add to the likelihood of an open, attack-minded game. With both teams desperate for points and likely to take risks, the over is a compelling pick for this Eastern Conference matchup.

The Pick: Over 7.0 +102 (BetRivers)

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Ottawa Senators

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Thomas Chabot Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 +114 -145 3.2 3.22
Brady Tkachuk Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 -140 +110 4.1 4.13

Buffalo Sabres

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Rasmus Dahlin Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 -175 +135 3.9 3.97
Casey Mittelstadt Points 0.5 7/10 -140 +110 1.0 1.04
Tage Thompson Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 +105 -135 3.7 3.86