Nuggets vs. Raptors Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Monday, Mar 11

Toronto Raptors guard Dennis Schroder (17) during the first quarter against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.
Image Credit: John Jones-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re looking for Nuggets vs. Raptors predictions, you’ve come to the right place. The Raptors are on the move to take on the Nuggets on Monday, Mar 11 at 9:00 ET. At present, the total is set at 231.5, and the Nuggets are favored by 14.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Raptors player props and predictions.

Nuggets vs. Raptors Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -14.5
  • Total 231.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Mar 11
  • Time: 9:00 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: ALT

Raptors Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Raptors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Toronto has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Raptors have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-2-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three home games, Denver has averaged 123 points per game while allowing 109. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Will the Raptors Exceed Expectations on the Road?

Toronto is 23-41 this season and are currently 12th in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-18 compared to 16-23 against the East.

As the underdog this season, the Raptors are 11-31 and have gone 21-21 against the spread. On the road, they are 17-15 ATS compared to 13-19 at home.

The Raptors have lost three straight games and are 10-22 on the road this season. Their average scoring differential on the road is -5.1 points per game.

In their last game, the Raptors lost to the Trail Blazers by a score of 128-118. The O/U line for that game was 228.5 points, and Toronto was favored by 2.5 points.

This season, the Raptors have gone 39-25-1 on the O/U, and their games have averaged 232.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 231.5.

When it comes to scoring, the Raptors are 17th in the league at 114.2 points per game. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 117.2 points compared to 111.2 at home (7th vs. 26th).

In terms of pace, Toronto is 13th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game. They are also 15th in field goal percentage at 47%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Raptors are 23rd in the league at 35%. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 18th at 33.5 per game.

Currently, the Raptors’ defense holds the 23rd rank in the NBA, allowing 118.2 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Raptors defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.9% while allowing 37.4% from downtown.

Can the Nuggets Grab a Win at Home?

Today’s O/U line of 231.5 is higher than 46 of Denver’s games this season. The team’s games have averaged 225.4 points per game, and their last two games have gone over the O/U line.

The Nuggets have an O/U record of 24-38-2 this season. In their most recent game against the Jazz, they won by a score of 142-121, which was well above the O/U line of 227.

In terms of ATS, Denver is 29-33 this season and has covered the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 16-15 ATS and 13-18 ATS on the road.

Denver’s overall record this season is 44-20, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 19-6 and 25-14 against the West.

As the favorite, the Nuggets are 40-14 this season and have a scoring margin of +5.8 points per game. Today, they are favored by 14.5 points at home. Denver has won two straight games as the favorite.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 15th in scoring at 114.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 14th in the NBA at 37%. They are also 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, Denver is just 27th in three-point makes per game.

So far, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.4% of their games. In terms of free throws, Denver is 29th in makes and 28th in attempts. Additionally, they are 14th in offensive rebounds and 4th in assists.

On average, the Denver defense is giving up 110.5 points per game (7th). Right now, they are on a 4 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Nuggets are forcing 11.8 per game, which is 5th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 11th in blocked shots at 5.6 per game.

Nuggets vs. Raptors Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -120 while the under is at -110. Our model predicts that Nikola Jokic will finish with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 9. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 26.5.

  • The Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 26.5 Points (-110)

Nuggets vs. Raptors Predictions

Coming in as the underdogs at +14.5, we have the Raptors as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 231.5, and our model projects the Raptors and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

The Pick: Raptors +14.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook