The NFL increased its regular season to 17 games in 2021. This created a change in the season-long prop bet totals offered with an extra game, and that’s continued this season.
Below, you’ll find four of my favorite season-long receiving yard prop bets for 2022.
Top NFL Season-Long Receiving Yard Prop Bets
Courtland Sutton Over 900.5 Receiving Yards
Sutton is fresh off a solid season when considering the overall situation. In 2021, he posted 58 receptions for 776 yards and 2 touchdowns on 98 targets. He ranked second in the NFL in aDOT (15.4), and he’s the big-play option for this Denver offense.
Sutton will be going from one of the worst quarterback situations in the NFL to one of the best this season. Russell Wilson supported two 900+ yard receivers in each of his last 3 seasons. He has one of the best deep balls in the NFL, and Sutton has consistently been limited by missed throws down the field. That should be remedied by the addition of Wilson.
We’ve seen Sutton post 1,112 receiving yards in 2019, and he’ll be another year removed from his devastating 2020 injury. Take the over here.
Where to bet: Courtland Sutton Over 900.5 receiving yards (-105) | DraftKings Sportsbook
Darnell Mooney Over 900.5 Receiving Yards
Mooney has one of the strangest receiving yard prop bets available. He’s coming off of an outstanding season, posting 81 receptions for 1,055 yards and 4 touchdowns on 140 targets. He’s the unquestioned WR1 for the Chicago Bears, and he should see plenty of targets again in 2022.
Mooney posted those numbers while dealing with inconsistent quarterback play. Justin Fields played 10 games as a rookie while holding the second-highest bad pass percentage (21.9%) in the NFL last season.
Fields should take a massive step forward in his second season, but Mooney can hit the over on volume alone even if he continues to see inconsistent quarterback play.
Where to bet: Darnell Mooney Over 900.5 receiving yards (-105) | FanDuel Sportsbook
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Christian Kirk Over 800.5 Receiving Yards
Kirk is coming off his best season as a pro, recording 77 receptions for 982 yards and 5 touchdowns on 103 targets.
The Jacksonville Jaguars gave him an absurd $84 million contract, and he’ll be a focal point of their offense. Similar to Fields, Jaguars’ signal-caller Trevor Lawrence should take a big step forward in his second professional season.
Kirk is an electric receiver, and Jacksonville will manufacture touches to prove this contract is more legitimate than the media portrayed.
Where to bet: Christian Kirk Over 800.5 receiving yards (-105) | FanDuel Sportsbook
Michael Pittman Jr. Over 1000.5 Receiving Yards
Pittman broke out in 2021, posting 88 receptions for 1,082 yards and 6 touchdowns on 129 targets. He’s the focal point of the Indianapolis Colts offense, and he’ll continue to be peppered with targets this season.
I’m expecting him to take another step forward, and he’ll have arguably the best quarterback of his young career, Matt Ryan, throwing him the football. We could easily see a career-high in targets for Pittman, and he should be able to break 1,000 yards for the second consecutive season.
Where to bet: Michael Pittman Jr. Over 1000.5 receiving yards (-112) | FanDuel Sportsbook
