Sunday features Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals, and we have four Celtics vs Heat props teed up for this matchup.
The Celtics check in as 2.5-point road favorites to advance to the NBA Finals. The total is somewhat low at 196.5, so we could see a scrappy elimination game between two teams that are not afraid to dust it up.
We’ll keep that in mind as we hunt for betting value on the Heat vs Celtics props market for Game 7.
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 12:30 p.m. ET on May 27.
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Celtics Vs Heat Player Props
Boston Celtics: G Derrick White
The prop: 8.5 points
The odds: Over -125/Under -105
Most people will gravitate towards Jayson Tatum and Jimmy Butler when browsing Celtics vs Heat props. However, White could represent the best value on the player props board.
This 8.5-point prop seems low. After all, White is brimming with confidence after chipping in 13-plus points in three straight games.
White was a non-factor in the first two games of this series, but the Celtics have been feeding him more playing time since then. That translates to a 34-minute average in the past three vs Miami. White is averaging 16 points per game over that span, which is nearly double this 8.5-point prop.
Take the Over with somewhat limited juice.
Boston Celtics: G/F Jaylen Brown
The prop: 2.5 assists
The odds: Over -175Under +130
The -175 price to the Over is heavy, but it’s the correct side. Here’s why:
- Brown has chipped in three-plus assists in 18 of his last 23 games.
- On the season, Brown averaged 3.5 assists per game.
- In Game 6, Brown flew past this mark with 5 assists.
If you are a fan of math, you’ll appreciate this fact: The -175 odds imply Brown has a 63 percent chance to go Over 2.5 assists. Touching on that first bullet point, Brown has gone Over this prop in 18 of his last 23. That’s a 78 percent hit rate signaling value to the Over.
All in all, Brown profiles as a solid bet to go Over 2.5 assists despite the heavy juice.
Miami Heat: G/F Max Strus
The prop: 1.5 assists
The odds: Over +105/Under -135
If you spend any time on NBA Twitter, then you’ve probably seen memes of Strus. He threw up a dud in Game 3, failing to record a stat in 15 minutes of playing time.
Don’t let that cloud your judgment when it comes to Celtics vs Heat props.
Strus is in a fine position to go Over 1.5 assists in Game 7. The Miami wing has posted two-plus assists in six of his last seven games. That lone failure? Well, we’ve already talked about it.
Strus came back with 34 minutes in Game 6, and he should fly past this assist prop if he sees similar playing time on Sunday. Getting plus-money for this prop is a nice bonus.
Boston Celtics: F/C Robert Williams
The prop: 7.5 points
The odds: Over -110/Under -115
Williams isn’t known for his scoring prowess, but this number seems way too low. Consider these facts:
- Williams averaged 10.0 points per game this season.
- In this series, Williams holds a 10.6 point per game average.
- Williams has scored 10-plus points in five of his last seven outings.
The Boston big man should find enough looks to soar past 7.5 points. He has avoided foul trouble (for the most part) in this series, which is a good sign pointing towards a healthy compliment of minutes to pad his scoring numbers.
