Looking for all the best Thursday Night Football props? You have come to the right place. Every week, we ask our analysts to sift through all the best daily fantasy sports sites to find you their best TNF player props for every week of the NFL season.
Make sure to check back weekly as this page will be updated a few days prior to each week’s matchup so you can get your bets in early to grab the most value.
So let’s dive into our best plays for this week’s matchup.
Thursday Night Football Props: Week 16 Picks
Josh Shepardson breaks down his top Week 16 TNF picks for tonight:
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Bo Nix More Than 18.5 Rushing Yards (1.70x)
Bo Nix didn’t have an encouraging game out of Denver’s Week 14 bye. Still, the rookie’s rushing ability was on display, scampering for 23 rushing yards on eight attempts against the Colts. According to Pro Football Reference, Nix has 23.4 rushing yards per game in 14 starts this season.
Nix has picked up yardage as a designed runner and a scrambler. Per the data suite at Fantasy Points, Nix has scrambled 38 times for 264 rushing yards this year. Thus, this season, 264 of his 327 rushing yards (80.7%) were on scrambles.
It’s helpful for Nix’s rushing production that he’s used on designed runs. However, his scrambling acumen is especially notable given Denver’s offensive tendencies. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Broncos have had a 57% situation-neutral pass rate this year, 62% since Week 11, and 66% in Week 15, which is noteworthy since it was their first game after the bye.
Nix has surpassed 18.5 rushing yards in seven of 14 contests, including amassing 61 on six rush attempts in a losing effort against the Chargers in Week 6. Los Angeles has permitted 23.0 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks this year. Nix can eclipse 18.5 rushing yards against the Chargers for the second time this year on Thursday Night Football. Finally, Nix’s rushing line at Sleeper is a slight value compared to 19.5 at Underdog. As always, it’s optimal to line shop to maximize every edge.
Where to play: Bo Nix More Than 18.5 Rushing Yards | Sleeper
Gus Edwards Less Than 10.5 Rush Attempts
Gus Edwards was the subject of one of my favorite offseason trivia notes. The Gus Bus is 100 days older than Ezekiel Elliott. It’s easier to understand Edwards’ dive off the cliff when framing his age that way.
Edwards had a career-low 4.1 yards per carry for the Ravens last year, and that’s dipped to a new low of 3.4 this season. He’s no longer benefiting from playing in the same backfield as Lamar Jackson, and his inefficiency has prompted the Chargers to air it out more in J.K. Dobbins’s absence.
The Chargers have had a 64% situation-neutral pass rate in three games without Dobbins. Ladd McConkey was out of one of those contests. Still, Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman aren’t senselessly running the ball for three yards and a cloud of dust.
Since tallying 11 and 18 rush attempts in Week 1 and Week 2, Edwards has had fewer than 10.5 rush attempts in eight consecutive games. Edwards had six, 10, and eight rush attempts in the three games without Dobbins.
Edwards has also played less than rookie Kimani Vidal in back-to-back games. According to FantasyPros, in Week 13 and Week 14, Vidal had 32 and 35 snaps versus 25 and 14 for Edwards.
Edwards doesn’t have a get-right matchup against a stingy run defense. Moreover, Denver has a pass-funnel defense. Since Week 11, the Broncos have faced a 61% situation-neutral pass rate. So, Edwards should have fewer than 10.5 rush attempts for his ninth consecutive game this week.
Where to play: Gus Edwards Less Than 10.5 Rush Attempts | Underdog
Where To Place Thursday Night Football NFL Prop Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NFL player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NFL player props.
NFL Fantasy Player Props
We love the NFL player props available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog, PrizePicks, Betr Picks, Vivid Picks and Sleeper. These fantasy player props aren’t technically sports betting picks, but they offer a very similar experience to prop-betting parlays.
You’ll often find the juiciest lines and payout odds for NFL props available at legal DFS sites. These apps are available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
NFL Betting Sites
You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:
More Sports Betting Resources
Check out the Props.com NFL Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet NFL props.
For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these Props.com resources:
Top Online Sportsbook And Daily Fantasy Promos By State
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PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our Apps Like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).
Wondering if the PrizePicks daily fantasy app is legal in California? Check out the Is PrizePicks Legal in California? Guide.