With the NFL Playoff races heating up, a lot of players will need to step up their games. With 14 games on Sunday, there are plenty of opportunities for NFL player props betting.
Let’s dive into the best bets for this Sunday’s action.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep on Dec. 8 at 2 p.m. ET.
Green Bay Packers: Aaron Rodgers
The Prop: Rodgers Passing Yards vs Chicago Bears
The Odds: Over 269.5 passing yards (-114) / Under 269.5 passing yards (-116)
Starting off our NFL player props for this week is Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Throughout his career, Rodgers has owned the Chicago Bears: in 26 games against Chicago, Rodgers has thrown for 56 touchdowns. Yikes! That’s the most against any opponent, and Rodgers carries a 21-5 record over the Bears.
In honor of Bears week, here’s a fun fact:
If you went back and handed the Bears a 7-0 lead before every Packers-Bears matchup in the combined Brett Favre-Aaron Rodgers Era (60 games, dating back to 1992) the Packers still would have outscored the Bears head-to-head in the Era. pic.twitter.com/CuszPZdbRH
— PackersHistory.com (@PackersHistory1) December 7, 2021
In his last four out of five games, Rodgers has easily exceeded 270 passing yards. The only game in that five-game span he did not reach was on October 28th, with only 184 passing yards when he was without go-to receiver Davante Adams.
Chicago won’t make it easy, though. The Bears are allowing 207.8 yards per game, the sixth-best total in the league. While they won’t get many interceptions (just five all season), they could give Rodgers a hard time. That holds true even without Akiem Hicks, Roquan Smith, and Khalil Mack to bring pressure on the pass rush.
The game script could be a factor here too. If the Packers get an early lead, they may lead on the rushing attack of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. Chicago allows just over 120 rushing yards per game, the 10th-most in the league.
Editor’s Note: New to NFL player props? Check out our complete NFL Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Cleveland Browns: Nick Chubb
The Prop: Chubb Rushing Yards vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Odds: Over 87.5 rushing yards (-116) / Under 87.5 rushing yards (-114)
Nick Chubb and the Cleveland Browns are coming off the bye week, but their last game was against these same Baltimore Ravens two weeks ago. In that tilt, Chubb rushed for only 16 yards while on the road, but that performance seems to be an anomaly. He hasn’t posted a total that low since his rookie season.
In three of the last five games, Chubb has hit the over 87.5 yards mark, eclipsing the 100-yard marker in each instance.
The Ravens’ defense has been decimated with injuries, especially in the secondary. With the increased passing volume, Baltimore allows the second-most passing yards per game but is giving up the fewest rushing yards per game to their opponents.
Chubb likely won’t be anywhere near the 16-yard total output again, and if he sees a less than a 60% rushing attempt share (like he has four times this season), he’s got a good chance to hit the over, especially if he continues his career-best 5.8 yards per carry pace.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mike Evans
The Prop: Evans Receiving Yards vs Buffalo Bills
The Odds: Over 71.5 yards (-111) / Under 71.5 yards (-119)
Sunday afternoon’s game between the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers could be a Super Bowl preview. Both clubs were betting favorites entering the season and should be tough outs in the postseason.
Mike Evans finished with 99 yards receiving last week against the Atlanta Falcons on the road. He has only reached over 71.5 receiving yards in two of the past five games, but he has caught 72+ yards receiving in nine of his past 12 games.
With Antonio Brown still serving a suspension for violating COVID-19 protocols and Rob Gronkowski banged up, Evans is likely the top receiving threat. Tampa Bay is also much more likely to pass against the Bills than New England was on Monday Night Football, where Mac Jones attempted just three passes the entire game.
Buffalo will be without cornerback Tre’Davious White, who suffered a season-ending knee injury on Thanksgiving Day. Taron Johnson (one interception, six pass defends) is likely the new matchup.
Bet the over 71.5 yards receiving with a -111 money line for Evans receiving yards prop.
