Chiefs vs. Lions Predictions, Odds & Picks – Thursday 9/7

Oct 16, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Skyy Moore (24) returns a kick against the Buffalo Bills during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Image Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Chiefs are set to face the Detroit Lions on Thursday, Sep 7. The game is scheduled for 8:20 ET while airing on NBC. Kansas City enters this game as 5-point favorites with the total set at 52.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Chiefs vs. Lions predictions below.

Chiefs vs. Lions Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -5
  • Total 52.5

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Sep 7
  • Time: 8:20 ET
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
  • TV: NBC

Lions Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Lions have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • The Lions are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Lions have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight-up mark of 4-1.

Chiefs Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Kansas City has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 33 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight-up mark of 3-0.

Will The Lions Kick Off Their Season With A Road Victory?

In spite of finishing with an above .500 at 9-8, the Detroit Lions missed out on the playoffs last season. Within the NFC North, the Lions ended the season with a 2nd place finish, backed by a 5-1 performance. Overall, Detroit rounded off the season ranked 8th in the NFC.

The Lions finished last season ranked 4th in yards per game on an average of 26.6 points per game (5th). In the passing game, Detroit ranked 12th in passing attempts and 8th in passing yards. Their ground game saw the Lions average 128.2 yards per contest (11th).

When looking at how the Lions’ defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 28th in the NFL with opponents converting 45.1% of their 3rd down attempts. Detroit finished the season 7th in turnovers and allowed an average of 25.1, putting them 27th in the NFL.

How Will The Chiefs Fare In Their Home Opener?

This season, the Chiefs will be gunning to repeat as Super Bowl Champs after beating the Eagles by a score of 38-35 in the Super Bowl. In the regular season, the Chiefs finished 1st in the AFC West with a record of 14-3. At home, the Chiefs went 9-1 and 8-2 on the road.

Last season, the Chiefs offense averaged 404.6 yards per contest, placing them 1st in the NFL. For the season, they outgained their opponents 14 times and averaged 29.2 points per game (1st). In the passing game, the Chiefs were 1st in the league, while averaging 115.7 rushing yards per game (20th).

Last season, the Chiefs’ defense was 9th in turnovers, having forced 20 takeaways. At season’s end, they had a turnover differential of -3 which put them 13th in the league. Overall, they allowed an average of 22.2 points per game (17th) and 332.7 yards.

Chiefs vs. Lions Player Prop: Skyy Moore

Skyy Moore heads into his matchup vs. the Lions with a payout of +195 (at Fanduel) to score a touchdown. The implied odds for him to score a touchdown are currently 55%. We all know Mahomes likes to spread the love, so Moore should get some red zone looks.

My recommendation for a prop bet is to take Moore to find the endzone vs. the Lions. With the price tag of nearly 2 to 1, I’m locking this bet in.

The Prop: Skyy Moore to score anytime touchdown | +195 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Chiefs vs. Lions Predictions

To kick off the season, look for the Lions to cover the spread as 5-point underdogs. Look for this game to be closer than expected. Even though the Chiefs may pull this one out late, I am expecting it to come down to the wire.

The Pick: Lions +5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook