Monday Best Bets: One NHL Total, One MLB Prop

Good news: We broke our three-day Best Bets losing skid Friday! Well, sort of. We went 1-for-2, which technically wasn’t a winning day … but it wasn’t a loser, either.

A new week brings new winning opportunities, and although Monday’s schedule is light —the NBA is idle before the play-in tournament starts Tuesday, and there’s just one game on the NHL docket — we’ve still found two solid Best Bets for your wagering pleasure.

Are you followin’ or fadin’? The choice, as always, is yours. With that, let’s dive into our Monday Best Bets!

Best Bets Track Record

Friday: 1-1
Year-To-Date: 48-44-1

Bostonian vs. The Book: 13-14-1
BetPrep Prop of the Day: 12-17
NBA Props: 17-7
NHL Props: 6-6
MLB Props: 1-0

NHL Total: Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets

Image Credit: Darcy Finley/NHLI via Getty Images

The bet: Over 6.5 goals
The odds: -128
Where to bet: FanDuel
From: Matt Perrault via The Bostonian Vs. The Book podcast

As noted above, there’s only one game on the ice Monday, and Matt Perrault of The Bostonian Vs. The Book Podcast is predicting a long night for both goaltenders. Perrault is all-in on Montreal and Winnipeg going Over the 6.5 total.

His reasoning was succinct: “All three goaltenders for Winnipeg have a goals-against-average of 3.3 or higher. It’s a 5-2 win for somebody”

Podcast co-host Dave Sharapan didn’t even bother checking to see who was in net for both teams, backing the bet simply based on both teams’ struggles to keep pucks out of the net this season.

“The Canadiens have been so good to Over bettors,” Sharapan said. “I think it continues tonight [and that] Winnipeg [also] gives them up.”

Several trends certainly indicate that Perrault and Sharapan have something cooking here. For starters, Winnipeg has topped the total in five of its last six road games, including Sunday’s 4-3 win at Ottawa. So the Jets find themselves in a back-to-back situation, as well, which is noteworthy because they’ve gone Over in each of their last five back-to-backs.

Meanwhile, as Sharapan mentioned, Montreal has been involved in shootouts all season and enters this one on Over streaks of 13-5-1 overall and 5-2-1 at home. Finally, these teams cleared the total in nine of their last 12 series meetings. That includes an 8-4 Winnipeg home victory on March 1.

If you’re on board with Jets-Habs Over 6.5 goals, you can snatch -128 odds at FanDuel.

You can listen to the replay of The Bostonian vs. The Book podcast on YouTube, Spotify, or Apple Podcasts.

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MLB Prop: SP Alex Wood (San Francisco Giants)

Image Credit: Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

The bet: Over 4.5 strikeouts (vs. San Diego Padres)
The odds: -125
Where to bet: DraftKings
From: BetPrep Prop of the Day via BetPrep.com

The BetPrep crew got back on the winning side of the track with Friday’s selection on the Utah Jazz -0.5 points in the first half against the Phoenix Suns. Although Utah trailed 30-26 at the end of the first quarter, they picked up the pace in the second period and entered the locker room with a 57-54 halftime lead.

For Monday’s Best Bet, the folks at BetPrep are shifting gears to MLB, rolling with San Francisco Giants starter Alex Wood to punch out at least five San Diego Padres during a late-night NL West clash.

The rationale behind this selection:

Wood averaged 5.85 strikeouts across 26 starts last season, and that K rate jumped to 5.93 in 15 home outings.
The veteran southpaw recorded at least five whiffs in 19 of 26 starts last season, including 11 of 15 at home.
Although he didn’t face the Padres last year with the Giants or in 2020 when he pitched for the Dodgers, Wood still is averaging more than a strikeout per inning against San Diego in his career (69 Ks in 66.1 innings).

Also, Wood made four starts during the spring and notched 12 strikeouts in 13 innings. In other words, he clearly has command of his stuff heading into his first regular-season start.

You can grab Wood Over 4.5 strikeouts at -125 odds at DraftKings.