Of all the markets for touchdown scorers, it’s possible the most underrated one is last to score. Obviously, there’s a lot of guesswork that goes into this prop. But there’s also strategy we’ll break down in this best last touchdown scorer bets article.
Basically, ask yourself how you expect the game to go. Create a scenario. What player, then, benefits most from that scenario?
Answer that question, and you might have yourself a bet.
With that in mind, here are some of our favorite last touchdown scorer props we have our eye on for Week 3 Monday Night Football.
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Best Last Touchdown Scorer Bets: Week 5 MNF
Our staff runs through their best last touchdown scorer bets.
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Week 5 MNF content linked below.
Chiefs TE Noah Gray (+1460)
This one is a bit off the board, but after Monday night, it may not seem so silly.
Gray is the heir apparent to Travis Kelce, and while he only has eight catches for 90 yards on the year, he’s been on the field for more than half the snaps.
Of his nine targets on the year, two have been in the red zone, same as Kelce.
But now, Gray may be more than just heir apparent – he may be on the field a lot more due to the Rashee Rice injury.
The Chiefs wide receiver room is … #notgood. Rookie Xavier Worthy is the de facto number one, and Justin Watson and Juju Smith-Schuster round out the two and three roles.
In short, the Chiefs and quarterback Patrick Mahomes are in a bit of a dire need for playmakers.
Is it possible they take the training wheels off the fourth-year tight end? Is it possible they line him up in the slot? Is it possible there’s a lot more 12 personnel packages?
These are all questions we’ll have the answers to after the game.
But before the game at these lofty odds, betting on Gray to be on the field and on the receiving end of a Mahomes strike in the game’s waning moments feels like a decent enough play.
Where to Play: Noah Gray last touchdown | +1460 at Fliff
Saints RB Alvin Kamara (+570)
If Gray is a bit off the board, Kamara brings us right back on the board.
One item we’ve noticed with this new-look Saints offense under new O.C. Klint Kubiak: He plays the best players, and plays them a lot. He’s almost like the Tom Thibodeau of the NFL. And that means Kamara is going to be one field, with snap shares of 86% and 82% over the last two weeks.
And if Kamara is on the field, he might score. It’s pretty simple.
For Kamara to be in line to cash a last touchdown prop, the game would almost certainly have to be close as time ticks down.
And being that this game opened with the Chiefs as 8-point favorites before being bet down to – at the time of this writing – 5.5 points, it’s appearing increasingly likely that this game stays close.
Kamara can get it done at the goal line, through the passing game, and very literally from just about anywhere on the field.
If the game is tight and the snap share remains as condensed, Kamara is as good a bet as anyone in this game – or really, over the course of this NFL Week 5 – to be the last to score.
Where to Play: Alvin Kamara last touchdown | +570 at Fliff
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