Browns vs. Jaguars Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Dec 10

Dec 3, 2023; Inglewood, California, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Joe Flacco (15) gestures against the Los Angeles Rams in the first half at SoFi Stadium.
Image Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Browns are ready to clash with the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, Dec 10. This week 14 matchup is set to kick off at 1:00 ET and will be televised on CBS. Cleveland enters this game as a 3.5-point favorite, and the over/under total is currently at 31. Can the Browns pull this one out as the favorite? Below, you will find our Browns vs. Jaguars player props and predictions.

Browns VS. Jaguars Odds

  • Spread: Browns -3.5
  • Total 31

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Dec 10
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland OH
  • TV: CBS

Jaguars Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Jaguars have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten road contests, the Jaguars offense has averaged 25 points per game while allowing an average of 19. Jacksonville posted an overall record of 8-2 while going 9-1 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Jacksonville has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 6-4 straight up.

Browns Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Browns have an over/under record of 0-4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 3-6-1. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 22 points per game.
  • As the betting favorite, the Browns have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Cleveland posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Do the Jaguars Stand a Chance in Cleveland?

The Jaguars come into their matchup against the Browns with an 8-4 record. In the AFC-South, they are 1st and 4th in AFC overall standings. Taking a look at the Jaguars’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +2.2. This has resulted in an ATS record of 8-4.

After dropping their last game by a score of 34-31 to the Bengals, they are looking to bounce back with a win this week. Not only did the Jaguars lose the game, but they also didn’t cover the spread as 10-point favorites. The team, in conjunction with Cincinnati, combined for 65 points, surpassing the over/under line of 41.

Jacksonville’s offense produced a total of 376 yards against the Bengals. When it came to third downs, the Jaguars had a conversion rate of 40%. The leading rusher for the Jaguars was Travis Etienne Jr., who had 45 yards, and Trevor Lawrence contributed 258 passing yards.

On defense, the Jaguars are currently positioned 18th in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 21.6 points per game and gaining 354.8 yards per contest.

Can Cleveland Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

As week 14 approaches, Cleveland is in 3rd place in the AFC-North, coming in with an overall record of 7-5. In the AFC, they currently reside in 6th place. The Browns have put together a record of 6-5-1 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +1.1.

In their most recent game, the Browns fell to the Rams by a score of 36-19. In addition to their 17-point loss, the Browns also lost vs. the spread. They were 3.5-point underdogs heading into the game. The over/under line for the game was set at 39.5 points, and the final combined total surpassed it with 55 points.

On offense, the Browns finished with 327 yards against the Rams. On third-down situations, the Browns had a 43.8% conversion rate. Notably, Kareem Hunt led the rushing attack with 48 yards, while Joe Flacco passed for 254 yards.

When it comes to yards allowed, the Browns rank 1st in the league, conceding an average of 260.5 yards per contest. Cleveland’s defense has allowed 20.4 points per game, which has them 10th in the NFL.

Browns vs. Jaguars Player Prop

Against Jacksonville, Joe Flacco’s passing yards prop is 191.5. Currently, the payout for going over this threshold is -116, while it’s -116 for staying under it.

Flacco has thrown for 254 yards on 44 attempts so far this season. His completion rate currently sits at 52.3%, and he maintains a passer rating of 75.4. Considering that Jacksonville’s defense has been able to apply pressure up-front so far, I’m taking the under on Flacco’s passing prop.

  • The Prop: Joe Flacco Under 191.5 Passing Yards (-116)

Browns VS. Jaguars Predictions

The Browns opened as 2.0 favorites at home and since then, the oddsmakers have shifted the lines to -3.5 in their favor.

This is a game of backup quarterbacks, and I feel like this is an overcorrection of the Jaguars being without Trevor Lawrence. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with the Jaguars keeping it within the number.

The Pick: Jaguars +3.5 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook

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