The Texans are gearing up to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, Nov 5. The game is slated for 1:00 ET and will be broadcast on CBS. Houston comes into this game as 3-point favorites with the total set at 40. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Texans vs. Buccaneers player props predictions below.
Texans VS. Buccaneers Odds
- Spread: Texans -3
- Total 40
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Nov 5
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: NRG Stadium, Houston TX
- TV: CBS
Buccaneers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Tampa Bay has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
Texans Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Texans have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Although Houston has a straight-up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 20 points per game in these games.
- Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Texans have a straight-up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
Are the Buccaneers Ready for a Road Win?
Seven games into the season, the Buccaneers hold a 3-4 record. This has them 3rd within the NFC-South and 9th in the NFC. In terms of the spread, the Buccaneers hold a record of 4-3. This has come on an average scoring margin of -1.
The Buccaneers took on the Bills in week 8, but they fell short, losing by a score of 24-18. The Buccaneers covered the spread despite their loss to Buffalo. They were underdogs by 10 before the game. The over/under line for their most recent game against Buffalo was 42.5. Finishing with a combined total of 42 points, the under hit in this matchup.
On offense, the Buccaneers finished with 302 yards against the Bills. When it came to third downs, the Buccaneers had a 26.7% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Rachaad White with 39 yards, and Baker Mayfield contributed 237 passing yards.
In terms of turnovers, the Tampa Bay defense has 14 takeaways, which is 3rd in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 18.3 points per game and 354.6 yards.
Can the Texans Grab a Win at Home?
Taking on the Buccaneers, the Texans will look to improve on their record of 3-4. This mark has them in 2nd in the AFC-South and 10th in the AFC. In terms of the spread, the Texans hold a record of 4-3. This has come on an average scoring margin of +2.9.
The Texans are coming off a 15-13 loss to the Panthers. Along with their outright defeat, the Texans couldn’t cover the spread despite being favored by 3.5. The under hit in the Texans’ most recent game, where the teams’ combined total was 28 points. The line prior to the game stood at 43.
In their matchup against the Panthers, the Texans ran the ball 30 times, with Dameon Pierce emerging as the top rusher with 46 yards. In the passing game, C.J. Stroud finished with 24 passes, resulting in 140 yards and a passer rating of 81.
With a matchup against the Buccaneers offense, the Texans defense has allowed an average of 18.3 points per game so far. They currently are 17th in quarterback hits and are allowing 335.4 yards per contest.
Texans vs. Buccaneers Player Prop
The receiving yards prop for Mike Evans is currently at 54.5. Converting this to implied odds, he has a 54% of going over this value with a payout of -117. Coming into week 9, Mike Evans has accumulated 507 receiving yards. He has an average of 7.9 targets per game, and his 15 yards per reception ranks 23rd among receivers. Given that they are facing off against a strong Houston defense, our projections show that Mike Evans won’t surpass his prop of 54.5 yards. My pick is taking the under.
- The Prop: Mike Evans Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Texans VS. Buccaneers Predictions
The Texans opened as 1.5 favorites at home and since then, the oddsmakers have shifted the lines to -3 in their favor.
After struggling to move the ball in the passing game against Carolina, I’m not expecting much from Houston this week. This is why I’m leaning towards Tampa Bay as a 3-point underdogs.
The Pick: Buccaneers +3 | -118 at Fanduel Sportsbook