Top Patrick Mahomes Prop Bets vs. Chargers – NFL Week 7

Oct 12, 2023; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrates toward fans against the Denver Broncos prior to a game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Image Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to our comprehensive analysis of the best prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes in Week 7 against the LA Chargers. We’ll dive into the exciting world of Patrick Mahomes props, providing you with an in-depth, statistical approach to support your betting decisions. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a newbie, our analysis will equip you with the insights you need to make informed bets.

Patrick Mahomes Props vs. LA Chargers: Week 7

As we approach Week 7 of the NFL season, the Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off against the LA Chargers. This matchup presents an exciting opportunity for prop bets surrounding Chiefs’ star quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. Known for his dynamic play and ability to change the game’s course, Mahomes’ performance is always a hot topic for bettors.

Each of these prop bets offers unique opportunities and challenges for bettors. For instance, Mahomes’ line for the player prop for Passing Touchdowns is 2.5, with odds for the over at +145 and the under at -190. This season, he has averaged 1.83 pass TD and has gotten over the line of 2.5 in 16.67% of games.

When it comes to Passing Attempts, Mahomes’ line is 37.5, with the odds for the over at 100 and the under at -130. This season, he has averaged 37.33 Passing – Attempts and has gotten over the line of 37.5 in 66.67% of games.

These statistics, along with the rest of the prop bets, provide a comprehensive picture of Mahomes’ performance and potential in the upcoming game. As we delve deeper into each prop bet, we’ll provide a detailed analysis, backed by statistics and trends, to help you make informed betting decisions. Stay tuned as we break down each prop bet and provide our top pick for Week 7.

Top Patrick Mahomes Prop For Week 7

Mahomes Over 274.5 Pass Yards

This season with the Kansas City Chiefs, Mahomes has had varied performances, recording 1,593 yards with 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions over 225 pass attempts. He’s achieved 272+ passing yards in four out of the six games.

Volume is the key factor here. In 2023, Mahomes has consistently had 36+ dropbacks in every game, averaging 41.7 dropbacks per game. This high number is attributed to the Chiefs’ struggle to decisively outscore their opponents. In fact, out of their six games, only one has been won by more than 11 points — a decisive victory over the Chicago Bears. Teams like the Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Jets, Minnesota Vikings, and Denver Broncos have managed to keep the scoreline competitive.

This week presents Mahomes with an advantageous matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers, who have been conceding a league-topping average of 317.8 passing yards to their opponents in 2023 — a figure considerably higher than any other team. Given that Los Angeles has the prowess to ensure a close game, Mahomes might be in passing mode from start to end. Relying on their star player as always, Kansas City could see Mahomes surpassing 300 yards once again.

Where to Bet: Patrick Mahomes over 274.5 passing yards | -115 at BetRivers

More Week 7 NFL Props

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