The Texans are gearing up to take on the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, Sept. 17. The game is slated for 1:00 ET and will be broadcast on FOX. Indianapolis comes into this game as a 1-point favorite with the total set at 39. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s delve into the Texans vs. Colts player props and predictions while taking a look at the odds below.
Texans vs. Colts Odds
- Spread: Colts -1
- Total 39
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Sep 17
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: NRG Stadium, Houston TX
- TV: FOX
Colts Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Colts have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games away from home, the Colts have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
- As the betting favorite, the Colts have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Indianapolis posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
Texans Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Texans have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their last five home contests, Houston has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 19 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Texans have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
Can the Colts Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?
To kick off the season, the Colts faced off against the Jaguars at home. However, they began with a 0-1 record after a 31-21 defeat. Alongside their 10-point loss, the Colts also suffered an ATS defeat. They were 3.5-point underdogs before the game.
On offense, the Colts finished with 280 yards against the Jaguars. When it came to third downs, the Colts had a 16.7% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Anthony Richardson with 40 yards, and Anthony Richardson contributed 223 passing yards.
When it came to defense, the Colts yielded 342 yards of total offense to Jacksonville. Among these yards, 105 were attributed to the rushing game, while 237 yards were given up through 32 attempts by the Jaguars’ offense.
Will Houston Find a Way to Win at Home?
In their season opener, the Texans had an away game against the Ravens, resulting in a 25-9 loss. They enter week two with a 0-1 record. In addition to their 16-point loss, the Texans also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 9.5-point underdogs at the start of the game.
Against the Ravens, the Texans ran the ball 23 times, with Dameon Pierce as the top rusher, gaining 38 yards. C.J. Stroud attempted 44 passes, amassing 242 yards and a passer rating of 78.
When it came to defense, the Texans yielded 265 yards of total offense to Baltimore. Among these yards, 110 were attributed to the rushing game, while 155 yards were given up through 22 attempts by the Ravens’ offense.
Texans vs. Colts Player Prop
Anthony Richardson’s passing yards prop vs. the Texans is currently 200.5. The odds suggest that he has a 54% chance of surpassing this total, and the under payout stands at -118.
Thus far, Richardson has thrown for 223 yards while making 37 attempts. His completion rate for the season is 64.9%, and he holds a passer rating of 79. With the Texans’ defense performing below average in getting off the field on third downs, I’m going with the over Richardson’s passing yards prop, which is set at 200.5.
The Prop: Anthony Richardson Over 200.5 Passing Yards (-116)
Texans vs. Colts Predictions
Indianapolis currently enjoys favoritism on the road, even if it’s by the slimmest of margins with the Colts -1. This will be an interesting battle between rookie quarterbacks, and the Texans are playing their home opener for the first time with new head coach DeMeco Ryans.
Looking at the betting splits, it appears that the sharps are jumping all over the Texans +1. DraftKings says that 72% of the betting tickets are on the Colts against the spread, but 74% of the money is backing the Texans. This suggests that the big-money bettors are loading up on Houston.
Even though the Colts are favored to pick up the win, I don’t like how the defense finished their last game. I see the Texans covering the spread as one-point underdogs at home.
The Pick: Texans +1 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook
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