The turkey isn’t the only thing stuffed on Thanksgiving. The NFL slate is full, featuring three games. The player props are vast. Yet, three receiving props are inviting, with two profiling well as overs and one looking good as an under.
Thanksgiving NFL Player Props for Week 12
Editor’s Note: The following Thanksgiving NFL player props are listed at FanDuel and DraftKings.
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3 Best NFL Player Props For Thanksgiving Slate 2023
Here’s a trio of player props for Thanksgiving’s NFL contests in Week 12:
Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 82.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Amon-Ra St. Brown is imposing his will against opposing defenses. He’s averaging 99.8 receiving yards per game this year. ARSB also had over 82.5 receiving yards in six of nine contests.
However, The Sun God had his lowest receiving yardage output (56) in Week 4 against the Packers. St. Brown’s underwhelming showing against the Packers earlier this year was his third consecutive game under 60 receiving yards against the Packers. The matchup hasn’t been kind to him.
Moreover, the Lions should lean heavily on the run as favorites against Green Bay. According to RotoViz’s pace app, Detroit ran on 50% of their plays when leading by at least three points since Week 8. If the game goes according to the betting line, the Packers won’t push the Lions into passing enough for St. Brown to eclipse 82.5 receiving yards.
Where to bet: Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 82.5 Receiving Yards | -114 FanDuel Sportsbook
Brandin Cooks Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
CeeDee Lamb is the alpha in Dallas’s passing attack. Still, after a slow start, Brandin Cooks has found his footing and comfortably settled into the No. 2 wideout gig. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Cooks’s 134 routes since Week 8 were the second-most among Dallas’s wide receivers.
In addition, Cooks has surpassed 36.5 receiving yards in three of four games since Dallas’s bye in Week 7. Three of those games were blowout victories for the Cowboys. So, even if they hammer the Commanders like they’re projected to, Cooks should eat in a good matchup.
According to The 33rd Team, 18 wide receivers have eclipsed 36.5 receiving yards against the Commanders this season. Moreover, they’ve allowed wide receiver teammates to both best 36.5 receiving yards in six instances this season. Thus, Cooks should clear the low bar of 36.5 receiving yards against Washington.
Where to bet: Brandin Cooks Over 36.5 Receiving Yards | -110 DraftKings Sportsbook
George Kittle Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
George Kittle is rolling. The stud tight end has rattled off 89, 116, 149, and 78 receiving yards in his previous four games. He’s averaging 64.2 receiving yards per game, with a median of 72.5 this season.
Kittle also has a drool-inducing matchup this week. Seattle has allowed 70.75 receiving yards to tight ends in their previous four games. Additionally, according to PFF, the Seahawks had a top-five zone coverage rate entering Week 12, and Kittle has smashed against zone coverage. Per PFF, Kittle is tied for the most targets (33), tied for the most receptions (26), and second in receiving yards (337) on the 49ers against zone coverage this year. So, Kittle should stay hot in an NFC West battle.
Where to bet: George Kittle Over 48.5 Receiving Yards | -118 FanDuel Sportsbook
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