For your Falcons vs. Buccaneers player props and predictions, we’ve got you covered as the Buccaneers hit the road to face the Falcons on Sunday, Dec 10 at 1:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 40.5, with the Falcons favored by 1.5 at home.
Falcons VS. Buccaneers Odds
- Spread: Falcons -1.5
- Total 40.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec 10
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
- TV: CBS
Buccaneers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their last five road contests, Tampa Bay has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 23 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
Falcons Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five home contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 16 points per game while allowing an average of 19. Atlanta posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting favorite, the Falcons have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
Can the Buccaneers Pull Off a Road Win?
Heading into their matchup with the Falcons, the Buccaneers have a 5-7 record. In the NFC-South, they are in 2nd place and 10th place in the NFC overall. The Buccaneers’ have a scoring margin of -1 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 7-5.
The Buccaneers secured a win the last time they played, taking down the Panthers by a score of 21-18. Although they won the game, the Buccaneers failed to cover the spread against the Panthers despite being favored by 3.5. The team, in conjunction with Carolina, combined for 39 points, surpassing the over/under line of 37.
Offensively, Baker Mayfield totaled 202 passing yards with a completion rate of 48%. On the rushing front, the Buccaneers had 28 attempts, gaining 128 yards. The team converted 6 of 15 third-down attempts.
The Tampa Bay defense has recorded 18 takeaways this season, which places them 5th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 20.4 is 10th in the league while giving up 356.9 yards per contest.
Does Atlanta Have What It Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
In the NFC-South standings, the Falcons are in 1st place with a record of 6-6. Within the NFC, Atlanta is 4th, heading into week 14. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Falcons are above .500 at 4-8. Their average scoring margin is -1.2.
In their last game, the Falcons came out on top against the Jets, winning by a score of 13-8. Against the spread, the Falcons’ 5-point win was enough to cover as 2-point favorites. The over/under line for their most recent game against New York was 33. Finishing with a combined total of 21 points, the under hit in this matchup.
Offensively, Desmond Ridder ended with 121 passing yards with a completion rate of 44%. The Falcons ran the ball 34 times, gaining 90 yards. The team converted 4 of 14 third-down opportunities.
So far, the Falcons’ defense has given up an average of 315.9 yards per game and 20 points per contest (7th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 61.7% and have given up 17 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 13th in the NFL.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Player Prop
Looking at the prop market for this matchup, Baker Mayfield has a passing yards prop of 221.5. The odds indicate a 53% chance of him surpassing this total, with an under payout of -115.
When it comes to passing attempts among quarterbacks, Mayfield is currently positioned 8th. His season statistics include 2790 passing yards and a completion percentage of 63.6%. Given the Falcons defense’s success on third downs, I’m taking the under at 221.5 passing yards. It will be tough for Baker Mayfield to surpass his prop with a lot for short drives in store for the Buccaneers offense.
- The Prop: Baker Mayfield Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Falcons VS. Buccaneers Predictions
Since the lines were initially set, Atlanta has moved from -2 point favorites to their current line of -1.5.
On the spread, I’m taking Atlanta at -1.5. I’m expecting the Atlanta rushing attack to take advantage of a Tampa Bay defense that struggled to defend the run in their most recent game. Lock in Atlanta -1.5.
The Pick: Falcons -1.5 | -113 at Fanduel Sportsbook