Wild Card: Texans vs. Browns Player Props & Predictions – Saturday, Jan 13

Oct 15, 2023; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans running back Dameon Pierce (31) and quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) react during the first quarter against the New Orleans Saints at NRG Stadium.
Image Credit: Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

The Texans are set to face the Cleveland Browns on Saturday, Jan 13. The game is scheduled for 4:30 ET while airing on NBC. Cleveland enters this game as a 2-point favorite, with the total set at 44.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Texans vs Browns player props and predictions below.

Texans VS. Browns Odds

  • Spread: Browns -2
  • Total 44.5

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Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Jan 13
  • Time: 4:30 ET
  • Location: NRG Stadium, Houston TX
  • TV: NBC

Browns Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Browns have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Browns have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
  • Cleveland has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Texans Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Texans have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Texans have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Houston posted a straight-up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Can Cleveland Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

In the AFC-North standings, the Browns are in 2nd place with a record of 11-6. Within the AFC, Cleveland is 5th, heading into the Wild Card round. Taking a look at the Browns’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +2. This has resulted in an ATS record of 10-6-1.

After a 31-14 loss to the Bengals, the Browns are looking to get back on track this week. In addition to their 17-point loss, the Browns also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 7.5-point underdogs at the start of the game. Totaling 45 points alongside Cincinnati, the game’s point total exceeded the set over/under line of 37.

Offensively, Jeff Driskel ended with 166 passing yards with a completion rate of 50%. The Browns ran the ball 24 times, gaining 104 yards. The team converted 2 of 11 third-down opportunities.

The Browns’ defense, so far, has an average of 270.2 yards given up per game and 21.3 points per contest (13th). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 57.4% and 23 passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 11th in the NFL.

Can Houston Grab a Win at Home?

As they approach their game with the Browns, the Texans come in with an overall record of 10-7 and have a winning streak of two games. In the AFC-South, Houston currently stands at 1st. When it comes to the spread, the Texans come in at 9-8. Going into the Wild Card round, their scoring margin per game is +1.4.

The Texans notched a victory in their previous game, defeating the Colts with a score of 23-19. Being favored by 1.5 points against the Colts, the Texans came through with an ATS win. The under-hit in the Texans’ most recent game, as the teams combined for 42 points. The line going into the game was 47.5.

Offensively, C.J. Stroud totaled 264 passing yards with a completion rate of 76%. On the rushing front, the Texans had 28 attempts, gaining 60 yards. The team converted 5 of 13 third-down attempts.

The Texans’ defense, so far, has an average of 330.7 yards given up per game and 20.8 points per contest (11th). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 67.6% and 17 passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 6th in the NFL.

Texans vs. Browns Player Props

Looking at the rushing yards props for this game, Jerome Ford has a prop currently sitting at 43.5. The under is paying out at -114, and taking the over has a payout of -118.

So far this season, Jerome Ford is 21st among running backs in rushing attempts and has 813 yards. He heads into this week’s game, averaging 4 yards per carry. Considering Ford is facing the league’s 6th ranked rush defense, I’m going to go with the under on Jerome Ford’s prop of 43.5 rushing yards.

  • The Prop: Jerome Ford Under 43.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

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Texans VS. Browns Predictions

Originally favored as the 2.5-point road team, Cleveland continues to be favored, but the lines have adjusted to -2.

After an impressive defensive showing against Indianapolis, I’m favoring Houston to cover the spread this week, especially with the line currently set at +2.

The Pick: Texans +2 | -111 at Fanduel Sportsbook