Cowboys vs. Packers Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Jan 14

Sep 17, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed (11) scores a touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons in the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Image Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

The Cowboys are ready to clash with the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, Jan 14. This Wild Card round game matchup is set to kick off at 4:30 ET and will be televised on FOX. Dallas enters this game as 7-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 50.5. Can the Cowboys pull this one out as the favorite? Below, you will find our Cowboys vs. Packers player props and predictions.

Cowboys VS. Packers Odds

  • Spread: Cowboys -7
  • Total 50.5

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Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan 14
  • Time: 4:30 ET
  • Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
  • TV: FOX

Packers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Packers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their five previous road games, Green Bay has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 27 points per game.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Packers have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight-up mark of 4-1.

Cowboys Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Cowboys have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their three previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 22 points per game.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Cowboys have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight-up mark of 5-0.

Can the Green Bay Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Taking on the Cowboys, the Packers will look to improve on their record of 9-8. This mark has them in 2nd in the NFC-North and 7th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Packers have a 9-8 record. Heading into the Wild Card round, their scoring margin is at +1.9 (per game).

The Packers are coming off a win in their last game where they beat the Bears with a score of 17-9. The Packers covered the spread, as they were favored by 2.5 against the Bears. The under hit in the Packers’ most recent game, as the team’s combined for 26 points. The line going into the game was 46.

Green Bay’s offense generated 432 total yards against the Bears. On third downs, the Packers managed a conversion rate of 70%. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing with 111 yards, while Jordan Love passed for 316 yards.

The Packers defense comes into the game with rankings of 16th in tackles for loss and 10th in sacks. Their opponents have been scoring 20.6 points per game and gaining 335.1 yards (per game).

Will the Cowboys Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

As they take on the Packers, the Cowboys will be looking to build on their 12-5 record. This currently places them at 1st in the NFC East and 2nd in the NFC. Dallas’ scoring margin up to this point is currently at +11.4. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 10-7.

The Cowboys traveled to take on the Commanders in week 18 and won by a score of 38-10. Heading into the game, the Cowboys were favored by 13. Their 28-point win was enough to cover the spread. With an over/under line of 47.5 points, the game saw a total of 48 points, going over the set line.

Against the Commanders, the Cowboys ran the ball 29 times, with Tony Pollard as the primary rusher, accumulating 70 yards. Dak Prescott attempted 36 passes, amassing 279 yards and a passer rating of 124.

Dallas is 5th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 18.5 points per game, accumulating 299.7 yards per contest.

Cowboys vs. Packers Player Prop

Jayden Reed is up against the Cowboys this week, and his receiving yards prop stands at 49.5 yards. Currently, the over bet offers a payout of -116, implying odds of 54%.

The Cowboys have struggled against slot receivers this season. Jayden Reed, playing 75.2% of his snaps in the slot, could exploit this, as players like Brandon Aiyuk, Keenan Allen, Garrett Wilson, and Curtis Samuel all exceeded 48.5 receiving yards from the slot against Dallas.

Entering the playoffs, Reed is in great shape, with 52, 89, and 112 receiving yards in his last three regular-season games. His 1.86 yards per route run (Y/RR) against man coverage, as noted by Pro Football Focus (PFF), is impressive, especially since Dallas often uses man coverage.

  • The Prop: Jayden Reed Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-116)

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Cowboys VS. Packers Predictions

When looking at the point-spread line movements, the Cowboys have come down slightly after opening as 7.5-point favorites. The Cowboys now sit at -7.

Green Bay’s most recent game against Chicago saw them look on the defensive side of the ball. I see them as the best bet to cover the spread for this week and keep the game close, with the line at +7.

The Pick: Packers +7 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook