The Warriors are set to face the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday, Feb 22. The game is scheduled for 10:00 ET while airing on TNT. Golden State enters this game as 6-point favorites with the total set at 242.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Warriors vs Lakers predictions below.
Warriors vs. Lakers Odds
- Spread: Warriors -6
- Total 242.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Feb 22
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
- TV: TNT
Lakers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- The Lakers are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Lakers have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
Warriors Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last home games and 5-0 straight-up.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.
Can the Lakers Pull Off the Upset on the Road?
The Lakers have won three straight games and are looking to extend their road winning streak to four games. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 9th place with a record of 30-26.
As underdogs, the Lakers have a scoring differential of -4.8 points per game this season. On the road, their scoring differential is -5.4 points per game. Against the spread, they are 12-16 on the road and 14-14 at home.
In their last game, the Lakers were 4.5-point underdogs against the Jazz but won by a score of 138-122. The O/U line for that game was 240.5 points.
This season, the Lakers have an O/U record of 31-25 and their games have averaged 234.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 242.5 points, with an average of 231.8 points in their games.
In the Western Conference, the Lakers are 4th in the Pacific Division. Against Western Conference teams, they are 20-17 compared to 10-9 in non-conference play.
The Lakers are 12th in scoring on the road, averaging 116.6 points per game. Overall, they are 13th in the NBA in scoring at 117 points per game.
Los Angeles is 4th in field goal percentage, but they are just 27th in three-point shooting. In terms of pace, the Lakers are 6th in the league.
When it comes to two-point shooting, the Lakers are 9th in the NBA. They are also 6th in free throw attempts and 7th in assists.
The Lakers’ defense is presently ranked 18th in the league, allowing an average of 117.1 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Lakers defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.1% while allowing 37.5% from downtown.
Can Golden State Lock in a Home Win?
The Warriors are favored by 6 points at home against the Lakers. This season, the Warriors have been favored in 32 of their 53 games and have a record of 21-11 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +4 points per game.
Golden State has an average over/under line of 233 in their games this season, which is lower than today’s line of 242.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 29-23-1, and their last two games have gone over the posted total.
In their most recent game, the Warriors defeated the Jazz by a score of 140-137. The O/U line for that game was 240.5, and Golden State was favored by 2.5 points going into the game.
Overall, the Warriors are 27-26 this season, which puts them in 10th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 15-20 compared to 12-6 against non-conference opponents.
For the season, the Warriors are 28-24 against the spread and have covered in five straight road games. At home, they are 11-16 ATS compared to 17-8 on the road.
At home, the Warriors are averaging 118.4 points per game, which is 11th in the NBA. Overall, they are 6th in the league with 119.7 points per game. So far, Golden State has outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.3% of their games.
When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 8th in the league at 100.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 15th in the NBA at 47%. However, Golden State is 11th in true shooting percentage.
One area where the Warriors have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 2nd in the league with 15.1 made threes per game and are 5th in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. In terms of free throws, Golden State is 18th in both attempts and makes.
So far, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 22nd in the league at 118.2 points per contest. Golden State’s defense is currently forcing 13.8 turnovers per game, which is 22nd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 27th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.1 rejections per game.
Warriors vs. Lakers Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Anthony Davis and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -131 while the under is at -104. In his matchup vs. the Warriors, we are recommending to take the under on Anthony Davis and his prop of 28.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 24.
- The Prop: Anthony Davis Under 28.5 Points (-104)
Warriors vs. Lakers Predictions
Not only do we have the Warriors winning this one by a score of 137-108, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Warriors at -6.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 242.5, and our model predicts the Lakers and Warriors to score a combined 245 points. We recommend betting on the over.
The Pick: Warriors -6 | at Fanduel Sportsbook