Warriors Vs Celtics Game 4 Odds, Prediction: Golden State Redemption?

Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) reacts after a play against the Dallas Mavericks during the first half during game five of the 2022 western conference finals at Chase Center.
Image Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 odds have been posted with Boston checking in as a slight 3.5 point home favorite. In fact, some sportsbooks have moved the Celtics to -4 with public money supporting the Eastern Conference champs.

Some of that may revolve around Stephen Curry’s health, as the Warriors’ superstar is banged up heading into Game 4. Will that be a factor on Friday? Can Golden State bounce back in a tough road environment, or will Boston bully its way to another victory?

Props.com dives into the Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 odds while breaking down those scenarios and offering a prediction. Check back for updates prior to Friday’s tipoff.

Warriors Vs Celtics Game 4 Odds

SpreadTotalMoneylineSeries Odds
Celtics -3.5214.5Celtics -160 / Warriors +145Celtics -225 / Warriors +180

Odds via BetMGM and updated as of 10:45 a.m. ET June 10.

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Celtics Lead The Series 2-1

Boston led 68-56 at halftime of Game 3, then Golden State cut the deficit to four points at the end of the third quarter. The Warriors scored 33 points in the third quarter, but went cold in the fourth — scoring just 11 points in the final quarter. That allowed the Celtics to pad their lead down the stretch, and Boston eventually took Game 3 by a score of 116-100.

Boston now has a 2-1 series lead with a chance to step into a strong 3-1 series position if it can pull out a home victory in Game 4. The Celtics are now -225 to win the NBA Finals while the Warriors fell to +180 at BetMGM. If we turn those odds into implied probability, it suggests Boston has a 69% chance to claim the title. If the Warriors can pull out the road victory in Game 4, there’s a good chance they’ll be favored to win the NBA Finals with the series heading back to the west coast.

Warriors Vs Celtics Trends

  • GSW 4-0 ATS in last four after a straight-up loss.
  • GSW 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
  • BOS 4-1 ATS in last five as a favorite.
  • BOS 3-0-1 ATS in last four vs GSW.
  • Over is 4-1 in GSW last five overall.
  • Under is 7-3 in BOS last 10 as a favorite.

Injury Report

Stephen Curry (undisclosed) is probable. The Warriors’ guard admitted that he will likely be playing through pain in Game 4, but doesn’t expect to see reduced minutes.

Andre Iguodala (knee) and Otto Porter Jr. (foot) are questionable. Porter played 21 minutes off the bench in Game 4 while Iguodala only saw 2 minutes.

Robert Williams (knee) is questionable. He has been playing through a knee issue for most of the postseason. Pending a setback, the expectation is for Williams to start and play his usual 20-25 minutes in Game 4.

Betting Action: Public Taking Boston?

This section will be updated as we move closer to tip-off.

UPDATE FRIDAY 12:30 PM ET: The Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 odds open with Boston as a 3.5 point home favorite. The spread has ticked up to Boston -4 as of Friday early afternoon. DraftKings reports that 52% of the betting tickets are on Golden State +4 with 59% of the handle going to the Warriors … The total opened at 213.5 while marginally ticking up to 214. DraftKings reports 61% of tickets on the Over but a whopping 92% of money flowing to the Under.

A chart displaying Warriors Vs Celtics Game 4 Odds and betting action with the warriors taking most of the tickets and betting handle.

Warriors Vs Celtics Game 4 Prediction

Curry’s injury is worrisome, but oddsmakers aren’t overreacting to this situation. In fact, the spread (Boston -3.5) is the exact same as Game 3. If you recall, the sentiment was much different heading into that contest, as Golden State crushed the Celtics 107-88 in Game 2.

It all comes down to this: Can the Warriors bounce back in a tough atmosphere on the road? Their track record screams ‘yes’. Golden State has won six straight games outright following a loss. Five of those came in the playoffs. This is a resilient team that spent the last two days listening to pundits talk about how soft they are. Golden State has a chip on its shoulder, and there’s value in the betting line. Take the Warriors.

The pick: Warriors moneyline (+145)